2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumAssociated Press updated delegate count:
Clinton got commitments from four more Superdelegates!
Here's the new count as of today (5/26/2016):
Clinton Pledged delegates 1,769, Superdelegates 540, Total 2309
Sanders Pledged delegates 1,497, Superdelegates 42, Total 1539
Only 74 more delegates needed for Clinton to win the nomination.
On June 7 several states will hold primaries, the first one to close their polling places is New Jersey, where 126 delegates will be chosen.
Currently the polls show Clinton ahead by 19% in New Jersey. If that stays the same, Clinton will get 75 delegates!
Game, set, match. Clinton wins.
LenaBaby61
(6,974 posts)CLOSER to the Democratic nomination
June 14th is coming FAST
George II
(67,782 posts)1StrongBlackMan
(31,849 posts)never mind the Pledged delegate count ... and history.
morningfog
(18,115 posts)It's a race to 2,026 pledged deleagtes.
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)Renew Deal
(81,856 posts)She'll get around 44 from VI and PR.
George II
(67,782 posts)w4rma
(31,700 posts)George II
(67,782 posts)Bleacher Creature
(11,256 posts)Donald Trump is truly dangerous and needs to be taken seriously. Wasting any more time with Bernie Sanders only hurts her at this point.
grossproffit
(5,591 posts)barrow-wight
(744 posts)JSup
(740 posts)DLnyc
(2,479 posts)at the convention. So "for Clinton to win the nomination", we will have to wait until she either has 2383 pledged delegates, or the un-pledged delegates have actually voted at the convention.
The "commitments" are political posturing. They can, and do, turn on a dime if the political landscape shifts. Assuming Hillary gets a good majority of the pledged delegates and assuming no big scandals break before the convention, and assuming the party hierarchy doesn't panic over Hillary's poor poll numbers against Drumpf, those "committed" delegates will likely stay with Hillary and you can say I told you so. But there is something a little unseemly about saying she will "win the nomination", when that is not really possible before the un-pledged delegates have voted (since neither candidate can get a majority by pledged delegates alone).
It might not be the best way to support your candidate to keep repeating things that aren't actually true. Particularly since she already has a big problem with credibility.
But if it makes you feel good, who am I to judge, really?
baldguy
(36,649 posts)Put their integrity in the trash bin, go back on their word & switch their vote for absolutely no reason.
And speaking of supporting your candidate by repeating things that aren't actually true - continuing to insist that Sanders can win is the biggest untruth of all.
oasis
(49,381 posts)Those who wish to hang on until the bitter end can do so in the appropriate discussion group provided.
Lucinda
(31,170 posts)Number23
(24,544 posts)realmirage
(2,117 posts)That's when jersey polls close
Alfresco
(1,698 posts)ProudProgressiveNow
(6,129 posts)Response to George II (Original post)
Post removed
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)B Calm
(28,762 posts)George II
(67,782 posts)...my guess is that those who haven't committed will be doing so fast and furious in the next couple of weeks.
This could be over before it's over.
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)for the superdelegates to vote for Sanders, and that ends it.
Sanders without moral legitimacy has nothing.
George II
(67,782 posts)...is precisely the one that he decried the loudest and longest about - "they should vote anyway they want". Gone is the idea that they should vote in line with the people of their states via primaries or caucuses.
Once she reaches 2026 (sometime on the evening of June 7) all his options are gone. And she WILL reach 2026. But that really doesn't matter anyway, since the superdelegates will be voting the way they've voted ever since Tad Devine helped setting up the superdelegate system.
By the way, hopefully no one has forgotten that Tad Devine WAS instrumental in establishing the superdelegates.
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)in California on June 7.