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ericson00

(2,707 posts)
Tue Jul 26, 2016, 09:26 PM Jul 2016

How can Dems stop losing the white vote by 20%+?

I was watching Van Jones and Anderson Cooper talk about how the Dems are playing to their base, so far in this convention.

Even for as much as Democrats have been openly gleeful the last few years about favorable demographics for them in elections, Donald Trump is leading in this race in most polls (for now), and while yea, its a convention bounce, it remains that:

1. America is still a majority white country
2. Hispanics increasingly see themselves as white

In 2012, Obama won the election nationally by 3.9% (close given that most poll margins of error max at 4%), and lost the white vote by 20%. According to a good Politico article, many Democrats are unsure how sustainable Obama-level turnout of AA vote is. This being said, how can the Democrats stop getting blown away in the white vote?

If Hillary could cut into Trump's white support, perhaps the election could be a blowout for her, which we'd all like to see. Also, what about 2020? When HRC runs for re-election in 2020, she'll be in the spot George HW Bush was in 1992; if the economy goes south, she's in big trouble, and needs insulation against a Rubio or Cruz, or perhaps Carson. Prepping for a rainy day is what anyone who is rich in anything, be it money, or votes, does.

35 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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How can Dems stop losing the white vote by 20%+? (Original Post) ericson00 Jul 2016 OP
Not by demonizing other peoples and religions. guillaumeb Jul 2016 #1
Package these tributes via Facebook, Snapchat etc. MichiganVote Jul 2016 #2
Even if Hispanics see themselves as white, do you seriously think The Velveteen Ocelot Jul 2016 #3
He's doing better with the Hispanic vote than the black vote ericson00 Jul 2016 #5
Read this and stop panicking gabeana Jul 2016 #11
It is the Cuban vote grubbs Jul 2016 #18
That's exactly what I was thinking n/t TexasBushwhacker Jul 2016 #28
Yes it is, I know Cubans who are staunchly GOP uponit7771 Jul 2016 #29
some people are just conservative. in the case of hispanics its often religion JI7 Jul 2016 #19
Because Democrats are the party of EVERYONE. As for that poll, how about this one: still_one Jul 2016 #4
hey, I'm optimistic but I'm thinking about the future too ericson00 Jul 2016 #6
I know you are ericson. I just think the polls are not particularly accurate at this time still_one Jul 2016 #7
More mixed people are born everyday bravenak Jul 2016 #8
that is true to an extent, but there are GW Bushes out there ericson00 Jul 2016 #16
We can be thankful that Republicans constantly shoot themselves in the foot when it comes bravenak Jul 2016 #33
Obama's words last night also held a lot of truth. NCTraveler Jul 2016 #25
Yep. Donald Trump was playing on white fears or retribution or revenge bravenak Jul 2016 #32
That's on white people, sorry. forjusticethunders Jul 2016 #9
be careful about such generalizations ericson00 Jul 2016 #10
I cannot go there GulfCoast66 Jul 2016 #34
all she needs is the obama voters. no extra white people needed...and btw her hispanic vote will be msongs Jul 2016 #12
Not until GOPer white wingers stop hating. Hoyt Jul 2016 #13
I've had it with this user's racist shit. Can someone do something about this? chascarrillo Jul 2016 #14
yup JI7 Jul 2016 #23
By saying and doing tge wrong things Cosmocat Jul 2016 #15
So what? The white voters Obama lost were probably leaning Republican long before that cstanleytech Jul 2016 #17
Nominate Jim Webb JI7 Jul 2016 #20
I'm not sure how necessary it is. NCTraveler Jul 2016 #21
There is alienation occurring as the country grows more diverse Trenzalore Jul 2016 #22
Educate them so they stop voting against their own best interest. baldguy Jul 2016 #24
Your reply is brilliant in its simplicity. +1 nt NCTraveler Jul 2016 #26
Easy!... TeeYiYi Jul 2016 #27
Electoral votes are more important. Wait to worry. eom fleabiscuit Jul 2016 #30
Donald Chump is NOT leading in most BG states uponit7771 Jul 2016 #31
I watched the 9-11 testimonials. There was a guy, Sweeney I think, a first responder... Hekate Jul 2016 #35

The Velveteen Ocelot

(115,761 posts)
3. Even if Hispanics see themselves as white, do you seriously think
Tue Jul 26, 2016, 09:28 PM
Jul 2016

more than a tiny percentage of them will vote for Trump?

 

ericson00

(2,707 posts)
5. He's doing better with the Hispanic vote than the black vote
Tue Jul 26, 2016, 09:29 PM
Jul 2016

which shouldn't be happening, especially given how hard he's trying with blacks (like Jamiel Shaw being the lead anti-Mexican up there).

grubbs

(356 posts)
18. It is the Cuban vote
Tue Jul 26, 2016, 09:58 PM
Jul 2016

That gives him a tiny fraction of the Hispanic vote. They have been traditionally voting republican for decades and have largely fallen into the same reflexive voting trap that many poor whites are in. They blame liberals for everything despite rethugs dominating almost all levels of government in many areas. If you can keep people ignorant and angry you can get them to vote against their interests.

JI7

(89,254 posts)
19. some people are just conservative. in the case of hispanics its often religion
Tue Jul 26, 2016, 10:00 PM
Jul 2016

And being opposed to abortion and same sex marriage.

 

ericson00

(2,707 posts)
6. hey, I'm optimistic but I'm thinking about the future too
Tue Jul 26, 2016, 09:30 PM
Jul 2016

2020, when Obama's long gone from office, and beyond. And other polls are pretty close.

 

bravenak

(34,648 posts)
8. More mixed people are born everyday
Tue Jul 26, 2016, 09:32 PM
Jul 2016

Plus, many hispanics who consider themselves white do not only consider themselves white. They still have ties to the Latin American community. Many black hispanics exist too, like myself.
Regardless of the fact that we lose the white vote, look at where the white vote is. The largest state is now majority minority with latinos making up the largest share. That state has the most electoral votes.
Since we don't get a president based off of the popular vote, but by the electoral college vote, we are basically just fighting out the swing states. Often in swing states, minorities are the deciding factor, and we black voters stand in long lines for democrats. We vote more than our share of the population.
Hispanics who see themselves as white don't automatically take on the voting habits of white republicans.

 

ericson00

(2,707 posts)
16. that is true to an extent, but there are GW Bushes out there
Tue Jul 26, 2016, 09:55 PM
Jul 2016

who can pull the Hispanic vote within 10%, as he did in 2004. What happens if Rubio is the 2020 GOP nominee? Also, even tho Hispanics who see themselves as white don't automatically become Republicans, they could be more likely to do so.

You are largely right; this OP is more about prepping for the rainy day.

 

bravenak

(34,648 posts)
33. We can be thankful that Republicans constantly shoot themselves in the foot when it comes
Tue Jul 26, 2016, 10:36 PM
Jul 2016

to diversity. A white mother of a black child will be turned off by them, so would a white mother of a hispanic child. There are so many intersections of commonality between diverse groups. Many whites don't jus identify as White for White's sake. That's why will keep winning. Unless republicans turn into democrats they turn off more than they turn on.

 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
25. Obama's words last night also held a lot of truth.
Tue Jul 26, 2016, 10:14 PM
Jul 2016

They are the party of division and it is a tactic that has worked throughout history. They are good at playing to the white mans fears. We have a party truly and openly pitting minorities against white men and women. Trump has even gone as far as the KKK at their height. Promoting people who look different as rapists. He is fucking doing this out in the open. An honest to goodness Klan tactic.

 

bravenak

(34,648 posts)
32. Yep. Donald Trump was playing on white fears or retribution or revenge
Tue Jul 26, 2016, 10:33 PM
Jul 2016

That!/ not what we do and there are not enough racist to keep th gop going

 

forjusticethunders

(1,151 posts)
9. That's on white people, sorry.
Tue Jul 26, 2016, 09:33 PM
Jul 2016

White people vote GOP because of racism, sexism, xenophobia and general bigotry. The only way to get a significant share of white GOP voters back is to start pandering to that shit, or for them to be less racist/sexist/xenophobic.

The Democrats are going in the exact opposite direction.

 

ericson00

(2,707 posts)
10. be careful about such generalizations
Tue Jul 26, 2016, 09:37 PM
Jul 2016

there are many decent regular people who are Republicans who genuinely buy their economics and tough-on-crime ideals, even if their politicians do not. And those people vote.

GulfCoast66

(11,949 posts)
34. I cannot go there
Tue Jul 26, 2016, 10:40 PM
Jul 2016

I know folks who are all in on the small government, low tax thing. They think that is the key to prosperity. And will not expressly racist and will critique those who make racist statements.

msongs

(67,421 posts)
12. all she needs is the obama voters. no extra white people needed...and btw her hispanic vote will be
Tue Jul 26, 2016, 09:43 PM
Jul 2016

more than obama got thanks to trump being such an hispanic/latino hater

chascarrillo

(3,897 posts)
14. I've had it with this user's racist shit. Can someone do something about this?
Tue Jul 26, 2016, 09:51 PM
Jul 2016

Concerned about the white votes. Upset at non-US flags being displayed. Wants to ban Syrian refugees. This person is trolling the boards here.

cstanleytech

(26,302 posts)
17. So what? The white voters Obama lost were probably leaning Republican long before that
Tue Jul 26, 2016, 09:56 PM
Jul 2016

and if they left the party because of Obamas skin color then the party is actually better off without them.

 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
21. I'm not sure how necessary it is.
Tue Jul 26, 2016, 10:06 PM
Jul 2016

Please don't get me wrong, we should go after them and there is reason after reason for them to love our platform.

I still think we need to keep improving our social and economic justice platform and selling it to minorities and women. It's the right thing to do. Expand them as the base of the party. More of the white voters will come on board if we can level the playing field between corporate America and labor. That is also something we are focusing on.

Trenzalore

(2,331 posts)
22. There is alienation occurring as the country grows more diverse
Tue Jul 26, 2016, 10:07 PM
Jul 2016

A lot of the white vote is a product of that alienation.

Hekate

(90,737 posts)
35. I watched the 9-11 testimonials. There was a guy, Sweeney I think, a first responder...
Tue Jul 26, 2016, 10:56 PM
Jul 2016

...who lost 2 cousins in the Twin Towers. You've got to go find that tape -- Hillary fought for them all tirelessly. I got chills. The guy is white, and he's union, and he will never ever forget her presence and her work and her personal touch.

Sweeney concluded bitterly, "And what was Donald Trump doing at that time?" Trump, after boasting that none of his properties had been damaged, took $150,000 from the federal fund designed to help Mom and Pop businesses devastated by the attacks.

My advice is to go ask THAT white guy.

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