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DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
Sat Jul 30, 2016, 11:46 AM Jul 2016

Yabba Dabba Doo Clinton 46% Trump 31%





Clinton Opens Up Wide Lead Over Trump

July 30, 2016By Taegan Goddard9 Comments
The new RABA Research tracking poll shows Hillary Clinton has opened a significant lead over Donald Trump, now leading him by 15 points, 46% to 31%, with Gary Johnson at 7% and Jill Stein sits at 2%.

A similar poll conducted the day after the Republican convention showed Clinton ahead by only five points.

https://politicalwire.com/2016/07/30/clinton-opens-up-wide-lead-over-trump/


P.S. EVERY POLL IS A DATA POINT. I KNOW IT IS TEMPTING BUT BETTER TO NOT GET TOO HIGH OR TOO LOW.
27 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Yabba Dabba Doo Clinton 46% Trump 31% (Original Post) DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2016 OP
This is legit Johnny2X2X Jul 2016 #1
Every poll is a data point. But I am not going to look a gift horse in the mouth. DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2016 #2
Internal polling Lefthacker Jul 2016 #4
Yes-Example: Rasmussen Has Moved Toward Clinton +8 in About a Week Stallion Jul 2016 #12
Online poll oberliner Jul 2016 #3
Used on 538 Johnny2X2X Jul 2016 #5
With a very low weight oberliner Jul 2016 #15
+1, this is important uponit7771 Jul 2016 #24
Being an online poll and producing accurate results are not mutually exclusive, neither is being new DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2016 #6
Agreed oberliner Jul 2016 #14
Point well taken. It makes me feel good though. DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2016 #16
I'm all for feeling good! oberliner Jul 2016 #18
these days online would be more accurate than telephone polls treestar Jul 2016 #19
I sure as hell don't answer my home phone, it's just for the wife's fax machine and emergencies Mr Maru Jul 2016 #21
Bet it is beautiful there though! treestar Jul 2016 #22
We live up by Glacier, about 45 minutes west. My wife took these photos recently. Mr Maru Jul 2016 #27
WOO HOO!!! YESSSS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! lunamagica Jul 2016 #7
Boom Boom Acka Lacka Lacka Boom! TheBlackAdder Jul 2016 #8
Oh my!! DCBob Jul 2016 #9
WOOHOO!! workinclasszero Jul 2016 #10
I also won't look... JSup Jul 2016 #11
I hope this is a reputable firm! tallahasseedem Jul 2016 #13
This poll is as reliable as the ones that Trump touts Democat Jul 2016 #17
It won't make the media happy. They're bound to do someyhing. . . SleeplessinSoCal Jul 2016 #20
Don't take it for granted. Skidmore Jul 2016 #23
I know we're not supposed to get to excited… unitedwethrive Jul 2016 #25
The MSM will go into overdrive to close the gap redstateblues Jul 2016 #26

Johnny2X2X

(19,066 posts)
1. This is legit
Sat Jul 30, 2016, 11:49 AM
Jul 2016

It's an online poll, but they have methodologies that make this a legit data point.

Please let some of the more known polls come in Hillary +10, we all probably need the sleep.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
2. Every poll is a data point. But I am not going to look a gift horse in the mouth.
Sat Jul 30, 2016, 11:51 AM
Jul 2016

Somewhere a Trumpist is seeing that poll and is depressed or in disbelief.

Lefthacker

(264 posts)
4. Internal polling
Sat Jul 30, 2016, 11:58 AM
Jul 2016

Maybe a Trumpuppet sees this and gets depressed or dismisses the polling. However if their so called team has any, and I mean even the tiniest bit of internal organization they should have seen this coming. If they haven't expected numbers in this ballpark their camp is even more of a Keystone Cops type effort than I thought.
Hillarys team has gobs of data and internal numbers.

Johnny2X2X

(19,066 posts)
5. Used on 538
Sat Jul 30, 2016, 11:59 AM
Jul 2016

Silver must be OK with their methodologies. And online polls were accurate in 2012, they compensate for demographics now.

 

oberliner

(58,724 posts)
15. With a very low weight
Sat Jul 30, 2016, 01:32 PM
Jul 2016

I think it gets 2 out of 5. As opposed to, say, PPP, which gets 5 out of 5.

Just something to consider.

 

oberliner

(58,724 posts)
14. Agreed
Sat Jul 30, 2016, 01:31 PM
Jul 2016

But more established polling companies tend to be more reliable for the most part. Also, online polls are often problematic.

That is not to dismiss the results of this poll entirely, but to consider the above factors.

 

oberliner

(58,724 posts)
18. I'm all for feeling good!
Sat Jul 30, 2016, 02:17 PM
Jul 2016

And I do like our chances in November.

I'm just one of those "the polls don't really mean much right now" kind of people.

treestar

(82,383 posts)
19. these days online would be more accurate than telephone polls
Sat Jul 30, 2016, 02:21 PM
Jul 2016

who answers the house phone? That's got to be a demographic that would not be representative any more.

Mr Maru

(216 posts)
21. I sure as hell don't answer my home phone, it's just for the wife's fax machine and emergencies
Sat Jul 30, 2016, 04:34 PM
Jul 2016

We live in the backwoods of Montana. Only have a cell signal because of the booster. When the electric goes out - no cell.



treestar

(82,383 posts)
22. Bet it is beautiful there though!
Sat Jul 30, 2016, 07:53 PM
Jul 2016

I drove through some of the southernmost part of Montana on a trip out west some years ago - saw the site of Custer's Battle, Yellowstone, Devil's Tower, Mt. Rushmore. It was amazing. I really loved all the open space and the blue sky and endless yellow fields.

Mr Maru

(216 posts)
27. We live up by Glacier, about 45 minutes west. My wife took these photos recently.
Sat Jul 30, 2016, 10:39 PM
Jul 2016

A surprise snow in the night when we camped at St. Mary. It was all melted (in the lower elevations) by 9am - but just crazy beautiful. I think the high ended up being in the 50's or 60's that day.



And this a great kayaking spot.



And this is one she took on one of the trails we did a couple weeks ago.






TheBlackAdder

(28,205 posts)
8. Boom Boom Acka Lacka Lacka Boom!
Sat Jul 30, 2016, 12:38 PM
Jul 2016

.





Note: The Yabba Dabba Doo song didn't fit, so here's a funner song with dinosaurs in it.


.

JSup

(740 posts)
11. I also won't look...
Sat Jul 30, 2016, 01:20 PM
Jul 2016

...a gift horse in the mouth, but this poll (unless I fudged the addition) leaves 14% unaccounted for and, during the primaries, the unaccounted for could surprise us.

I won't be completely non-paranoid until Hillary is over 50% (which I 100% believe is possible).

SleeplessinSoCal

(9,123 posts)
20. It won't make the media happy. They're bound to do someyhing. . .
Sat Jul 30, 2016, 02:41 PM
Jul 2016

. . . to keep what shouldn't be close a tight race.

Skidmore

(37,364 posts)
23. Don't take it for granted.
Sat Jul 30, 2016, 07:58 PM
Jul 2016

I don't trust that this crazy jerk and his minions won't try lots of dirty tricks. GOTV GOTV GOTV

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