2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumClinton Retakes the Lead At 538
All of 538's forecasts have Clinton back in the lead.
Now Cast=54% chance
Polls Only=52% chance
Polls Plus=62% chance
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#plus
Cha
(297,240 posts)doncon mouthing off stupid inanities a mile a minute.
Doctor Jack
(3,072 posts)Cha
(297,240 posts)workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)Everyone that had a hand in putting together that great event is to be commended for sure!
Cha
(297,240 posts)And, our awesome leaders..
Hillary Clinton
✔ ?@HillaryClinton
"This has been such an exciting...week!
We heard the man from Hope, Bill Clinton & the man of hope, Barack Obama."
7:32 AM - 29 Jul 2016
3,280 3,280 Retweets 14,557 14,557 likes
https://theobamadiary.com/2016/07/29/fired-up-ready-to-go-4/
Rick S ?@gratepool
"So then Trump brought out Chachi and the Duck Dynasty Guy!"
5:38 PM - 28 Jul 2016
3,208 3,208 Retweets 5,868 5,868 likes
https://theobamadiary.com/2016/07/29/the-hug-seen-around-the-world/
Mahalo~
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)tallahasseedem
(6,716 posts)I LOVE it!
book_worm
(15,951 posts)bad polls for HRC last week are not on board posting the latest good state and national polls?
writes3000
(4,734 posts)Doctor Jack
(3,072 posts)LenaBaby61
(6,974 posts)Isn't it a curious thing though...
WHEN polling was negative and too early on to believe in, SOME folks were here in DU running with those right-leaning or weird polls of gloom and doom concerning HRC. Now that both conventions are over, the the polling is somewhat more credible and is shaking out with dust settling, I haven't seen the "usual suspects" anywhere around.
It's one thing to mention polling in passing, especially early on, and to also honestly talk about polling that might from time to time be in a negative vein for Hillary, or showing the race possibly tightening. However, as you said the usual suspects RUNNING with negative HRC polling faster than Usain Bolt can run, and this was even before the GOP convention was over and before the Democratic Convention begun
sheshe2
(83,770 posts)Now let's go and kick the rest of his ass out!
JennyMominFL
(218 posts)Last edited Sat Jul 30, 2016, 04:43 PM - Edit history (1)
I just looked at 538 and she is lower in polls only than before, at 50.9. The other 2 seem to have her going higher.
LW1977
(1,234 posts)No idea what the hell is going on over there.