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brooklynite

(94,745 posts)
Tue Aug 9, 2016, 07:48 AM Aug 2016

Stu Rothenburg: Donald Trump needs a miracle to win

Three months from now, with the 2016 presidential election in the rear-view mirror, we will look back and agree that the presidential election was over on Aug. 9th.

Of course, it is politically incorrect to say that the die is cast.

Journalistic neutrality allegedly forces us to say that the race isn’t over until November, and most media organizations prefer to hype the presidential contest to generate viewers and readers rather than explain why a photo finish is unlikely.

But a dispassionate examination of the data, combined with a cold-blooded look at the candidates, the campaigns and presidential elections, produces only one possible conclusion: Hillary Clinton will defeat Donald Trump in November, and the margin isn’t likely to be as close as Barack Obama’s victory over Mitt Romney.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/powerpost/wp/2016/08/09/donald-trump-needs-a-miracle-to-win/?postshare=2631470741261494&tid=ss_tw

8 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Stu Rothenburg: Donald Trump needs a miracle to win (Original Post) brooklynite Aug 2016 OP
I'm a little nervous saying that 3 months out... Adrahil Aug 2016 #1
Agree Johnny2X2X Aug 2016 #5
Its a bounce LoverOfLiberty Aug 2016 #8
It looks that way. Third Doctor Aug 2016 #2
While I always worry... Demsrule86 Aug 2016 #3
Watching the media go through their motions...... Jade Fox Aug 2016 #4
it will be a miracle if russian bank sanctions are lifted & payments can resume. Sunlei Aug 2016 #6
Think about it randr Aug 2016 #7
 

Adrahil

(13,340 posts)
1. I'm a little nervous saying that 3 months out...
Tue Aug 9, 2016, 09:30 AM
Aug 2016

... but Trump is in BIG trouble. If Hillary were in his position, I'd be drinking myself to sleep every night.

Johnny2X2X

(19,118 posts)
5. Agree
Tue Aug 9, 2016, 10:07 AM
Aug 2016

If Hillary was getting crushed right now in the polls we would all be beside ourselves.

There is simply no precedent for anyone coming back from being so far down after the conventions. The DNC ended 12 days ago and her lead is still growing, this is not a bounce anymore, it's a rout.

Third Doctor

(1,574 posts)
2. It looks that way.
Tue Aug 9, 2016, 09:35 AM
Aug 2016

But I'm being cautiously optimistic. It's been proven that a lot of American voters have low attention spans and 3 months is a long time.

Demsrule86

(68,696 posts)
3. While I always worry...
Tue Aug 9, 2016, 09:44 AM
Aug 2016

I think this article is correct. Trump has very little chance...the nuke comment alone should do it for any intelligent voter.

Jade Fox

(10,030 posts)
4. Watching the media go through their motions......
Tue Aug 9, 2016, 09:54 AM
Aug 2016

talking about what Trump could do to "turn things around" and "get back on track" is just pathetic. He's toast.

Sunlei

(22,651 posts)
6. it will be a miracle if russian bank sanctions are lifted & payments can resume.
Tue Aug 9, 2016, 10:42 AM
Aug 2016

Free Russian "services" just don't cut it compared to piles of cold hard cash.

randr

(12,417 posts)
7. Think about it
Tue Aug 9, 2016, 10:52 AM
Aug 2016

Trumpkins are probably praying for a horrific terrorist attack that may propel their candidate into office.

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