Univision forecast: Latino vote will sink Trump in Florida

[lunamagica]

Hillary Clinton will win the key swing state of Florida thanks to the Latino vote, a Univision News election forecast predicts. Without Florida's electoral votes, Trump can't win in November.
Por: Alejandro Fernández Sanabria
Mariano Zafra
Antonio Cucho
Publicado: sep 07, 2016 | 06:09 PM EDT

Donald Trump will lose the election in Florida - the swing state with the most electoral votes - because most Latinos won't vote for him, Univision News predicts.

As a result, it's virtually impossible for him to win the White House due to the electoral college system, according to a a Univision data analysis of the key five swing states expected to determine the outcome in November.

The forecast, based on a statistical analysis of the presidential race, found that Hillary Clinton will win 48.39% of the vote in Florida, versus 44.87% for Trump.

http://www.univision.com/univision-news/politics/univision-forecast-latino-vote-will-sink-trump-in-florida

[napi21]

1. I agree. Same thing is also having an effect on AZ, NV, and

even more so in areas with a prominent Black population. As much as I dislike Pribus, he was right when he said their Party won't be able to win any elections unless they broaden their base to include Latinos and Blacks.

Of course their Party nominee not only ignored that advise, he openly discarded them from any consideration at all.

[vlyons]

5. A lot of the GOP candidates ignored that advice, or at least

gave it phoney lip service. GOP policies ain't too friendly to people of color.

[Sancho]

2. yep

[a kennedy]

3. Love that mini video you have in your sig line......LOVE IT.

and tRump losing Florida??? music to my ears. I dispise him.

[vadermike]

4. Cool

Is this a legit poll? Would this be included in Nates polling or similar ?

[democrattotheend]

6. The Latino vote in Florida is not as Democratic as the rest of the country

Because a lot of Florida Latinos are Cubans, who tend to be more conservative, especially in Florida. That is changing some but it's not a 70-30 split for Democrats like other Latino groups.

[davidn3600]

8. I agree

This Florida Latino demographic is not necessarily the same as in other areas of the country. So I think some caution needs to be made here. It's not just the Cuban population, but as a whole they vote doesn't vote as a monolith with the rest of Latino populations throughout the country.

The Latino vote also don't vote purely based on party.
Marco Rubio continues to maintain a lead in every poll. It's not a huge lead, but considering Rubio has the support of Florida Latinos and the Cuban-American population it will be tough for Democrat Patrick Murphy to overtake him.

[helpisontheway]

7. I hope so..the poll released today has it too close (tied). No way should he be tied

with her and the demographics....I think she will win if she can get her supporters to the polls.

[oasis]

9. Si se puede.

[AgadorSparticus]

10. Exactly why Dems downline should tie their opponents to Trump.