This is the boost she received from winning the debate???? OMGosh.....you've got to be kidding.

[a kennedy]

Down to 55.5%

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo

Ok that's it.......I'm done checking this site. Ugh.......

[Renew Deal]

1. Do you know what number means?

It impossible for the debate to affect it today

[beachbum bob]

2. you do realize that these odds are based on polls that yet to be been done right?

don't freak out

[a kennedy]

3. the numbers were updated 21 minutes ago........eom

[Imperialism Inc.]

22. Wait, you think post-debate election polling has already been completed and released?

Do you have trouble tying your shoes in the morning? Be honest now.

[LiberalFighter]

23. The latest poll added was for Sept 27th.

[FSogol]

4. CALL CONGRESS RIGHT NOW!

[RobinA]

5. I Don't Know

about the poll, but I think it's not necessarily the case that who "won" the debate is going to translate to votes. Amongst all the celebrating that Hillary did a really great job, I think how much that may or may not matter is not being discussed.

[DarthDem]

6. Please. Stop. Checking. That. F***ing. Site.

Or at least, please stop posting about it. Not just you - everyone. It's designed to drive clicks and discussion. It is an untested computer model and is demonstrably flawed. Use your common sense instead. Think of it as a computerized concern troll.

[a kennedy]

9. Of course you're right......thanks.

[DarthDem]

16. My Pleasure . . .

. . . and please know that I didn't mean to direct the asterisked-out epithet at you. I was directing it at Nate Silver and ESPN. But if we all stop talking about that increasingly ludicrous "model" over here, it will magically disappear from our consciousness.

[JTFrog]

7. OMG....ONOZ!!!!

Thanks for another positive thread!

[DinahMoeHum]

8. Patience, grasshopper. Wait another 24-48 hours.

By then, I think you'll like what you see.

[a kennedy]

10. Yup, that's right 24-48 hours.....

[BobbyDrake]

11. If you don't understand how that forecast works, then yeah, stop reading it

It's not Instapundit, FFS! It's based on polls that take days, sometimes weeks, to conduct. The effect of the debate won't be felt in polls for a few days from now.

This is GE 101 stuff, FCOL. Pull yourself together.

[obamanut2012]

12. Why do you think that number includes a debate bounce?

Do you understand how polls work???

[a kennedy]

15. Guess I don't, was actually hoping to see some sort of uptick this morning......guess I was wrong.

[obamanut2012]

18. Polls don't work like that

She is actually up a point on 538 from last night for some reason.

[scheming daemons]

29. 538's numbers are SOLELY based on polls. How could there have been an uptick yet?

Wait until some post-debate polls come out.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

13. SMH

[ochem]

14. give it 5 days

stop freaking out. chillax, she got his.

[book_worm]

17. So what new state polls came out since the debate or were conducted since the debate?

Try and calm down and wait.

[artyteacher]

19. polls are always behind trends...

Check the betting markets for faster results to breaking news.

[Demsrule86]

20. Dear a Kennedy

Another negative post...how not surprising. That is all you have.

[a kennedy]

21. hey Demsrule86, been waiting for you......

[Demsrule86]

37. Waiting breathlessly for a positive post. nt

[yellowcanine]

24. Deep breath. It will take a few days for polls to start moving.

The 538 numbers today were pretty much baked in over the weekend when the expectations game was going on and Hillary supporters were nervous about whether Trump was going to manage to appear normal and thus "win" by his low bar standards. His implosion will change all that.

[a kennedy]

26. Thank you.....and I'm hearing that it takes awhile for debate results to appear......

will try to wait patiently.

[still_one]

31. Actually, a few days ago the probability numbers were very close for both candidates, and this isn't

changed to much from yesterday where Hillary has regained a higher probability of winning, These numbers do not reflect the debate. There is no poll that has been done to show that yet. It would take about three days of polling for any debate effect to show up

[Dem2]

25. Impulse control much?

Check back in 10 days, then you'll have some idea what effect the debate had.

[Cattledog]

27. Get a grip!

[still_one]

28. First of all, numbers do not move that quickly. It takes several days to a week to show up. Most

important is that the debate isn't going to change the party loyalists, it will only change the undecided, and that may take even longer to work into the polling numbers

[Cattledog]

30. OP Please look here.

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/780672636871385088/photo/1

[heaven05]

32. he rambled, bullied and drank water

while sniffing whatever substance affecting that addled brain cell he has.

HRC cruised, crushed and left the trumpenfuhrer in her dust. She is a true leader for this country. Hands ddown..

[florida08]

33. That's Nate Silver's site

He is the one who also said Trump would never be the nominee. I follow him on Twitter. He goes by numbers not mentality. Polls are suppose to be a small sample of opinions at a point in time. They might be voters and they might not. They are emotionally driven not logically. Take them with a grain of salt.

[Tommy_Carcetti]

34. Calm down! Get a hold of yourself!

[rumdude]

35. Nate Silver himself said in post before the debate that the effects

of the debate won't show up for 5 to 7 days.

Hillary destroyed Don.

You wait and see.

[NCTraveler]

36. .