2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumClinton Hits All Time High on Prediction Markets
Can't imagine why...oh right
84% on PredictWise. Previous high was 81% in the middle of August
http://predictwise.com/politics/
Doctor Jack
(3,072 posts)Thats a lot of movement for 1 day. This is likely millions of dollars being moved around.
triron
(22,026 posts)triron
(22,026 posts)muriel_volestrangler
(101,390 posts)And Predictwise haven't yet updated the column for 'PredictIt' - while the column on Predictwise still lists Arizona as a 1% chance for Hillary (which would have been too low even before this - she should have been above 10%, at least), the PredictIt site itself now has Hillary at 58% there: https://www.predictit.org/Browse/Group/75/Electoral-College .
So I think PredictWise may end up putting Hillary up to 90% or so.
pnwmom
(109,009 posts)Scurrilous
(38,687 posts)Doctor Jack
(3,072 posts)A nearly 16 point swing in the last 24 hours on election betting odds and at her all time high
https://electionbettingodds.com/
Codeine
(25,586 posts)triron
(22,026 posts)triron
(22,026 posts)has become very steep (in math terms 1st derivative very large).