Clinton Probably Finished Off Trump Last Night ~By Nate Silver / 538
Im not sure I need to tell you this, but Hillary Clinton is probably going to be the next president. Its just a question of what probably means.
Clinton went into the final presidential debate on Wednesday with a lead of about 7 percentage points over Donald Trump. And according to the only two scientific polls weve seen, voters thought that Clinton won the debate. Occasionally, the initial reaction to a debate can differ from the way its perceived days later. But in this case, the morning headlines, which focused overwhelmingly on Trumps refusal to say whether hell accept the election results, are potentially worse for Trump than the debate itself. In YouGovs poll of debate watchers, 68 percent of voters said they think the candidates should pledge to accept the results of the election.
There are less than three weeks left in the campaign, and there are no more guaranteed opportunities for Trump or Clinton to command a huge public audience, as they do at the conventions and the debates (although, theyll get plenty of attention, of course). Millions of people have already voted. Trump has had a significant advertising deficit, and an even more significant deficit in terms of his turnout operation. Hell probably spend a significant chunk of the remaining news cycles quarreling over his contention that the election is rigged, and with the numerous women who have accused him of sexual assault. He doesnt have an obvious or even a not-so-obvious path to the presidency.
Continues in link: http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/clinton-probably-finished-off-trump-last-night/