2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumPoll: HRC's lead in FL's Miami-Dade is "the most any democrat has ever gotten"
Hillary Clinton needs Floridas largest county to deliver big for her come Election Day and Miami-Dade seems poised to do so.
Clinton wallops Trump by 30 percentage points, according to a new WLRN-Univision 23 poll released Tuesday that shows her ahead by 58-28 percent. That margin is 6 points wider than President Barack Obamas over Mitt Romney in 2012, when Obama won Miami-Dade by 62-38 percent. Obama went on to victory in Florida by a single point.
Clintons spread over Trump is the most that any Democrat has ever gotten, dating back to the 2000 election, in Miami-Dade, said Fernand Amandi, the Democratic pollster who conducted the survey with his firm, Bendixen & Amandi International. Obama bested John McCain in Miami-Dade by 16 points in 2008. John Kerry defeated George W. Bush by only 6 points in 2004, as Al Gore did against Bush in 2000. Kerry and Gore lost.
In the poll, Libertarian Gary Johnson and Green Party candidate Jill Stein drew a combined 5 percent support. Clinton leads Trump by about 4 percentage points statewide, a Real Clear Politics polling average shows.
Blue Miami-Dade is no bellwether. But a Democrat could amass so many votes in Miami-Dade and neighboring Broward and Palm Beach to make it impossible for a Republican to match them in redder, less populated Florida counties.
Read more here: http://www.miamiherald.com/news/politics-government/election/article109052487.html#storylink=cpy
Happyhippychick
(8,379 posts)LisaL
(44,974 posts)BlueStater
(7,596 posts)I really don't get how anyone can possibly back both Hillary Clinton and Marco Rubio at the same time.
marybourg
(12,634 posts)I'm somewhat nonplussed by the descriptor "ever" applied to a span of time going back only 16 years, to 2000.
Awsi Dooger
(14,565 posts)I don't think it will be 30. Feels too high. But there's no doubt this area is more friendly to Democrats now. Previously I never talked politics with Cuban neighbors. Now they approach me when I'm working in my front yard and say nice things about Hillary.
Rubio is receiving a push from local businesses. I see his signs outside one store after another. In particular, Shell stations in my neighborhood are plastered with Rubio signs. They say, "Rubio for Senate" and the ones leftover from the primaries say, "Florida is Rubio Country"
GulfCoast66
(11,949 posts)Especially all the recent Puerto Rican immigrants excited to vote in their first presidential election. For Hillary!!