2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumHillary Clinton's campaign machine getting the job done in Nevada
Say what you will about calling and knocking on doors. It apparently, as Tim Kaine said when he was here, works.
This is not single effort. It's a coordinated single purpose mass of talent and people from not only Nevada, but Idaho, Utah, and California. Here is today's analysis to stress how important the work has been and how important the work to come will be.
If you assume he and Hillary Clinton get 90 percent of their bases (and almost no poll shows Trump doing that well), and she loses indies by 20 points (and most here show her up with indies) she STILL wins the state by 2 points.
Let's suppose Republicans end up coalescing and he gets 90 percent and she gets only 80 percent of Democrats -- a highly unlikely scenario, to put it mildly -- he would still need to win indies by at least 10 points to win the state.
That is what the nearly 90,000-voter registration edge does for the Democrats in Nevada -- if they have their usual turnout, it's almost impossible for Trump to win. - Jon Ralston Reports / KTNV 13 News Las Vegas
So encourage those who work for the Hillary campaign when you talk to them. Theirs is a thankless job, that pays dividends for us all. And if you know of any democrat who's not sure about voting this year, lean on them. GOTV! We're in the home stretch!
Cha
(297,692 posts)Cha
(297,692 posts)Awsi Dooger
(14,565 posts)In 2008 I was posting on MyDD.com while living in Henderson, NV. Somebody on MyDD posted a diary about living in California but canvassing in Nevada. I immediately recognized some specifics. They had come to my door earlier that day. Small group of men and one woman with positive attitudes and a distinctive older car. We joked about it in the diary comments. They remembered my shirt. I had already voted but they provided campaign literature anyway.
That was the breakthrough cycle, so different than when I volunteered in 2004. Keep in mind that Nevada's population has been expanding so additional congressional districts were added. There was frustration when Tessa Hafen lost very narrowly in the new NV-3 in 2006. The machine was still in its creaky stages. By 2008 there was a dramatic advancement. Now there is a 4th congressional district, a sprawling district but with 80% of its voters in Clark County, so even more necessity to turn out the vote. NV-4 is expected to be tight this time.