Just a reminder that the final polling average in 2012 had Obama winning by less than a point

[Quixote1818]

he ended up winning by 4 points. So polling (at least in the recent past) generally has under sampled democratic voters.

http://www1.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_romney_vs_obama-1171.html

[Proud liberal 80]

1. Agree, Clinton's map looks better than Obama's did at this point

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_elections_electoral_college_map.html

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.html

[Dawson Leery]

2. Then she wins by 7-9.

..and all of those light red states that should be dark red.....

[Quixote1818]

4. I think it's very possible but who knows.

Maybe the pollsters made some corrections from last time?

[regnaD kciN]

5. Not so much "the polling average" as "RCP's polling average"…

Both 538 and PEC had more like a 3-point margin, but RCP's model tends to lean Republican…which is something to keep in mind when you look at their average this time around, too.

[Stallion]

6. Democrats Shouldn't Be Legitimizing RCP Which Creates a False Narrative

they have a finger on the scale

[Drunken Irishman]

7. As it is with any close race, it comes down to turnout operations.

Obama's team was very successful at getting out the voters they needed to win.

I hope Hillary is just as successful.