If those Florida GOP numbers are true...

[DemocratSinceBirth]

If those Florida GOP numbers are true it might be Cuban Republicans who are upset with Trump for emasculating Marco Rubio.

[TheLibIn615]

1. Could be some of it.

Hope that's not the full story, because otherwise this poll has me salivating about that Senate seat. If it's a vendetta on behalf of Rubio, then never mind.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

3. Cubans are justifiably proud of Marco Rubio. Trump absolutely clowned him.

[LisaL]

7. That's what the pollster said. Those republicans that vote for Hillary still go and vote for

republicans down ticket.

[Gothmog]

2. Or it could be college educated women bailing on Trump

[Avalux]

4. MSNBC saying overall Latino vote is surging in Florida.

Appears Cubans are shifting from the GOP.

[niyad]

5. pretty sure marco did that all by his widdle self.

[OnDoutside]

31. That's something we can agree on. He's an empty vessel, only interested in self advancement.

[Johnny2X2X]

6. It's Republican women

There are millions of Republican women who will vote Hillary.

This is an exit poll basically.

[LonePirate]

8. If that 28% holds through Nov. 8, FL and the entire election will be called before CA polls close.

That level of R support, if common throughout other states, will flip GA, IN, MS, SC and TX in addition to locking down FL, NC and OH very early. KY, LA and MO could also flip with those numbers. We can only hope they throw some votes to down ballot Dems.

[duffyduff]

12. By rights it should be a 50-state blowout.

It probably won't be, but it sure as hell won't be close, despite the media trying to make it so.

Trump is unfit and unqualified for the job.

[workinclasszero]

26. Man I hope Hillary wins in a landslide

Then we can watch the damn news networks try to weasel their way out of the "horse race" they created!

[workinclasszero]

9. Drumpf is DONE!

[duffyduff]

10. It could be the racism, it could be Rubio, it could be about Putin.

The three Rs: racism, Rubio, and Russians.

Whatever it is, I'll take it.

[MadBadger]

11. Though I'd like to win the Senate race, interesting that they have it Rubio 49-43

So not Pro Dem across the board

[peggysue2]

14. Republican crossover voters

Aka the 'Never Trump' Republicans are splitting their ticket according to the TargetSmart survey/prediction. Voting Hillary Clinton at the top and Rubio for Senate.

[LisaL]

16. They cross over for Hillary but not down ticket.

[Zynx]

15. Yeah, that poll did show Rubio up 6%, so I think they're probably right.

[LisaL]

17. That's what he said. Cross over only for Hillary not down ticket.

[geek tragedy]

18. Steve Schale (Obama's FL field director in 2012) says "not based in reality"

Trump isn't ahead by 7 in NC, and Clinton isn't ahead by 8 in FL.

Nate Cohn of NY Times upshot also severely skeptical

Sample size for Rs who early voted is only 120 or so.

[StevieM]

20. I was freaked out by NC at first but I have since calmed. As for Florida, I think you have to

remember how hated Trump is by Latinos.

That said, I agree that she won't win by 8, at least not since Comey and Chaffetz set out to rig the election. Before they did that I thought she might win by 10 points and 375 electoral votes.

Now that won't happen. And we won't take the House back either, thanks to their misconduct.

Ironically, we know have our first actual abuse of power in this whole story about Hillary Clinton's email server.

[Awsi Dooger]

21. No kidding

Not even close to reality.

I'm glad you posted a related reply first because I didn't want to look like a bad guy by going first. It's sad that so many threads are touting a finding that doesn't threaten logic.

Republicans have been moving toward Trump, not away from him.

[geek tragedy]

23. I think they just got a weird sample.

Irresponsible of MSNBC to post a poll with sample size 311 as game changer.

[JCMach1]

19. Did the oversample S. Florida Republicans then? R.'s in North Florida tend to be

more Red.

[Coyotl]

22. Polling shows a big chunk of Republican women voting Hillary. Coattails should be interesting.

[Coyotl]

24. Ooophs, wrong tab.

[Awsi Dooger]

25. Moody's Analytics

I'm watching a tape of Lawrence O'Donnell's show right now.

You guys brutally buried the lead. The Moody's Analytics segment was light years more relevant than one floppy Florida poll.

He incorporated and described all the long term big picture fundamental variables that I've described here and elsewhere for more than 15 years. That's what decides elections, not day to day hysteria.

I particularly appreciated that his model includes number of terms served by the holding party, and also gas prices. Those are two critical factors that are seldom mentioned. In 2012 I remember sweating gas prices throughout the summer and fall. Fortunately they dove just in time, dropping a half dollar or more. Ohio benefited immensely.

This year it's been relaxing with gas prices remaining low, by standards of this era, for the past year or more.

Tremendous job by Lawrence O'Donnell to understand the value of something like Moody's Analytics. That's what sets him so far above Rachel Maddow, for example. She would never feature something like that, not when it could sap time from her 20 minute opening babble.

[Demsrule86]

28. could be...he treated Rubio as he always treats people who are not as white as he is.

And he has said awful things about all Brown people.

[pat_k]

29. Hope so.

And I hope the Clinton campaign will finally listen to Alcee Hastings and pull together an emergency GOTV effort.

[SouthernProgressive]

30. Might be people like my Republican friend...

Who doesn't appreciate men viewing his daughter as an object for sex. Or that he believes Russia is expanding its empire and doesn't like Trump cozying up to them. Or is it his out of control economic planZ The list goes on for reasons Republicans should despise this man.

[Demsrule86]

32. I DVR'd the O'Donnell show.

This was a poll taken of voters who have already voted...already voted. And Hillary Clinton was getting 28% of GOP votes. The pollster could not break it down in terms of ethnicity but says it could be true because the the Hispanic voter is up.