2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumWoot Woot = Reuters/Ipsos Widens to Nine Point Spread
By shayomc Tuesday Nov 01, 2016 · 5:12 PM PDT
Like everyone I have been driven to despair by FBI bombshell, MSM pile-on, and tightening polls. Ipsos/Reuters which appears to follow some sort of logical pattern shows a slightly widening race from 42:36 for five days ended 10-28 to 45:36 for five days ended 10-31.
Reuters 5 Day Moving Average to 10-31
Was surprised to see it as Reuters usually publishes weeks polls on Friday. Dont know why this is not being picked up given quality pollster. Guess it doesnt fit neat narrative of straight line from Weiner laptop to tightening race.
angrychair
(8,699 posts)Of her leading by over 53% of all actual votes already cast to include 28% republican voters.
Moody Analytics also now predicts Hillary Clinton as the eventual winner. Predicted winner since 1980.
MadBadger
(24,089 posts)Coyotl
(15,262 posts)MadBadger
(24,089 posts)Coyotl
(15,262 posts)You can also edit the URL, but there seems to be an error that limits the last date. Maybe they haven't completed the updating??
Foggyhill
(1,060 posts)oasis
(49,387 posts)Tom Rivers
(459 posts)and then the "fbi vault" leaks about the mark rich pardon and hailing daddy trump as a great man lol. comey and the fbi look really bad in this like they're playing partisan politics.
because of this don't be surprised if the fbi does some sort of leak to the media by the end of the week claiming to have found a few "concerning" emails on weiner's laptop that might be even more relevant to the clinton investigation and "potentially" classified emails, without showing what they are before the election because of course not. these nuts in the fbi have gone rogue by playing partisan republican politics and are actively working against the clintons and democrats in an effort to sway the election to trump and republicans or at the very least cushion the mandate. it was just too convenient that the nyt had an article ready to go with (republican) fbi officials dismissing the idea of trump working closely with russia almost immediately after the report of trumps connection to a russian server and david corn's article about russia cultivating trump for years. they got word of what was coming and did what they could to blunt it and keep it from gaining traction.
book_worm
(15,951 posts)Coyotl
(15,262 posts)If you copy the embed code and edit the JavaScript, it should work, but that's a lot of trouble.