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2016 Postmortem

SDANation

(419 posts) Wed Nov 2, 2016, 12:22 AM Nov 2016

Targetsmart polls?

Trying to understand why a bunch of pollsters are poo pooing it? It is of ACTUAL VOTERS right? Which would make it an exit poll and more accurate, no?

4 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

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Targetsmart polls? (Original Post) SDANation Nov 2016 OP

Trying so hard alcibiades_mystery Nov 2016 #2

Not always, unless you have history of voting EV and Election day in the model ... plus MyNameIsKhan Nov 2016 #3

Full details release tomorrow. triron Nov 2016 #4

alcibiades_mystery

(36,437 posts)

2. Trying so hard

Reply to SDANation (Original post)

Wed Nov 2, 2016, 12:25 AM

Nov 2016

to understaaaaaaaand...

MyNameIsKhan

(2,205 posts)

3. Not always, unless you have history of voting EV and Election day in the model ... plus

Reply to SDANation (Original post)

Wed Nov 2, 2016, 12:27 AM

Nov 2016

you need to match votes to voter rolls so you know how many have voted early versus traditional election day voters, this will give you very good idea how elections are going.

Targetsmart model is based on all of the above, this is same model or even better HRC is running in Brooklyn HQ's every night... they know if they are on target for each voting block versus where they are over/under performing.

Beauty is, this is all software simulation...

triron

(22,006 posts)

4. Full details release tomorrow.

Reply to MyNameIsKhan (Reply #3)

Wed Nov 2, 2016, 12:30 AM

Nov 2016

Know much more then

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