More on the Target Smart Poll.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

Who knows if it is an oultier or not?

Florida Republicans are atypical in that many are Hispanic of Cuban origin and there are many of them. It is logical to assume they won't vote like other Republicans in light of Trump's withering attacks on other non-Cuban Hispanics and his clowning of Marco Rubio.

I assure you Trump is not getting 90% of Cuban Republicans. Just looking at the registration percentages of early voters without controlling for race or ethnic origin can give you a misleading picture.

[Hortensis]

1. Florida publishes names of voters. Target contacted

people who had ALREADY VOTED and asked how they voted. Very different from contacting people who are at best "likely" to vote and perhaps still trying to decide how. Target was also able to correlate the responses obtained with age, sex, race/ethnicity, and other factors.

If it's an outlier, it's almost certainly out-lying on the more accurate side.

Unfortunately, apparently most of those 28% of Republicans are only crossing the ballot to vote for Hillary, not down-ballot Democrats. We'll see. In close races, the smaller percentages who do also say no to what other Republican candidates are promising may make a critical difference in many races.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

2. There are a lot of Cuban Republicans who won't vote for Trump after he trashed Hispanics and Marco.

The fact that HRC is running stronger than down ballot Democrats lends credence to that inference. They vote for HRC and then vote for Marco Rubio and other GOP candidates.

[Hortensis]

4. God, I hope they won't vote for "Marco" after he trashed

Hispanic interests in general and aligned himself with mostly white dark-money donors. The only Cubans he'd benefit would be the wealthy ones.

[LisaL]

7. Per the poll, they cross over to vote for Hillary but not down ticket.

[Gothmog]

5. I believe that many of the GOP cross overs are white college educated voters

Trump has been polling poorly with white college educated voters in general and with white college educated female voters in particular. This poll appears to be confirmation that Trump is losing these voters

[LisaL]

6. In FL, cross over GOP are most likely to be Hispanic.