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2016 Postmortem

triron

(22,003 posts) Wed Nov 2, 2016, 12:21 PM Nov 2016

Election Consortium now has HRC win probabilities as 98% (random drift)

and 99% (bayesian). This is the highest I have seen there.

http://election.princeton.edu/

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Election Consortium now has HRC win probabilities as 98% (random drift) (Original Post) triron Nov 2016 OP

That's my conclusion too,a ll over except the GOTV effort must remain unparalleled. Coyotl Nov 2016 #1

Coyotl

(15,262 posts)

1. That's my conclusion too,a ll over except the GOTV effort must remain unparalleled.

Reply to triron (Original post)

Wed Nov 2, 2016, 12:34 PM

Nov 2016

Those probabilities don't account for their own influence on the days ahead.
People cannot stay home thinking their votes are not needed (Republicans for trump excepted).

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