Targetsmart?

[cilla4progress]

Discuss

(This is the pollster who reported last night that 28% of Republican voters in FL are crossing over to vote for HRC. )

[femmocrat]

1. Here is some information about how the poll was conducted:

https://www.scribd.com/document/329698329/TargetSmart-William-Mary-Florida-Poll-of-Early-and-Likely-Voters

[cilla4progress]

3. Is 311 a statistically sufficient

poll size? Clearly, they think so. Not finding pollster ratings easily...

[femmocrat]

4. Here is a DU post about it:

I couldn't find it on 538's rating list of pollsters. That sample size does seem small, especially since they said they contacted actual voters. Don't know.

***Details on TargetSmart/ William and Mary poll of Florida***

https://www.scribd.com/document/329698329/TargetSmart-William-Mary-Florida-Poll-of-Early-and-Likely-Voters

Looks like a pretty good poll to me. Sample size is less than desirable.

Review of findings
HRC leads in early vote 55-38
28% republicans crossing over to vote for HRC in early vote
Predicted final vote HRC 48 DT 40

http://www.democraticunderground.com/12512574860

[shraby]

2. I watched him on the O'Donnell show and he seemed very creditable.

He explained how they got the results and the upshot is without Florida, the donald is toast.