Virginia CPP( B rated) poll shows Trump gaining 15 % in one month. Leading Hillary by + 3.

[factfinder_77]

Volatile numbers indeed, b rated pollster..cant explain the huge shift for Trump, so it looks like an outlier.

https://twitter.com/PpollingNumbers/status/793889001757347841


Hampton-University/CPP Poll:
Trump 44 (+3)
Clinton 41
A 15 point shift toward Trump in a month
http://news.hamptonu.edu/release/Hampton-University%27s-CPP-Latest-Poll-Shows-VA-Voter-Shift-from-Clinton-to-Trump-Post-Email-Investigation

Winthrop has Clinton 44, Trump 39. that is Clinton +5, but thats before the FBI stunt..

http://www.winthrop.edu/winthroppoll/default.aspx?id=9804

[beaglelover]

1. FUCK! What the hell is happening????????????????????????????

[StevieM]

12. James Comey and Jason Chaffetz broke the law. (eom)

[CajunBlazer]

44. See my post below

http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=2574635

[Egnever]

47. You are being played

This race has been over since before the primaries started.

[Rex]

56. Nothing, he cannot catch up to HRC in numbers now.

He would have to pick up double the number of current voters plus some.

[RBInMaine]

63. PIECE OF SHIT OUTLIER POLL. CALM DOWN.

[beaglelover]

67. Sorry for the freak out everybody!!!

[vadermike]

2. Well

If accurate We might be trouble.. But I thought we were really good in VA? This plus the troubling NH poll coming tmmrw sickens me I hope HRC campaign can contain the damage Wtf?

[Proud liberal 80]

4. What NH poll? Details

[JI7]

11. lol

[Adrahil]

17. outlier....

Lots of polls coming out and we're fine. Do you REALLY believe we lost like 15 points in one month and no other poll shows it?

[Adrahil]

40. Why the hell do you credit thse outliers...

And not the numberous other polls that contradict them?

Sorry, but that's ridiculous.

[CajunBlazer]

45. See my post below and relax

http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=2574635

[Thrill]

3. Comey: Mission Accomplished

[StevieM]

14. It really is horrifying that they are doing all this right out in the open.

That goes double for Jason Chaffetz.

[20895DEM]

5. Trump is losing VA

I live in MD but work in VA. Most of the population is in NoVA. It is become increasingly blue since 2008. No way Trump will win here. He stands a better chance in PA than VA this year.

No rust belt issues resonate here.

[obamanut2012]

55. NOVA, Charlottesville, Richmond city

Most of the population, all very blue.

[reasonabletexan]

6. This is why you average polls

Look up the early vote numbers out of Virginia. Then take a chill pill.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

8. What poll does not look like all the others?

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/virginia/

[Demsrule86]

20. Thanks DSB So tired of these sort of obvious post...

Who will win Virginia?
Chance of winning Virginia’s 13 electoral votes

FiveThirtyEight
Hillary Clinton
82.6%
Donald Trump
17.3%
FiveThirtyEight
Projected vote share over time

[factfinder_77]

10. Polling summary for today

PA thightened a bit but still a solid 4-5 point lead in multiple polls.
Wisconsin for Trump ain't happening, HRC +6 in the gold standard poll for that state.
Good poll numbers in Florida and North Carolina, both with small leads.
Not so good numbers in Ohio and Arizona (both about -5), they might slip away
And a terrible poll out of Nevada (-7), but that is most likely a massive outlier with several red flags (HRC losing Clark County, winning women only by 1 point)

[scheming daemons]

9. There you go again...

I wonder why you never post favorable polls, Mr. Concern?

[obamanut2012]

57. yup

[TrekLuver]

13. Trump's pussy grabbing happened a month ago. I don't see how there could be 15 point shift

toward Trump while that was going on?? That doesn't make sense.

[CajunBlazer]

48. Relax, see my reply to this OP

http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=2574635

[TrekLuver]

64. I'm not riled about this...I find this swing highly unlikely.

But don't worry I 'm riled up about other shit. Hilllary's live youtube rally stream just filled with trolls...disgusting. Thank goodness I have a touch of deplorable in me so I was able to beat them back LOL

[regnaD kciN]

15. I'm really skeptical of polls like this and the ABC tracker…

…that show wild swings. I doubt there were any serious polls of Virginia that showed HRC up 12, even at her highest. That looked like an outlier then, and still looks like an outlier now.

[CajunBlazer]

49. Relax, see my reply to this OP

http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=2574635

[CajunBlazer]

16. factfinder are you trying to surpress the enthusiam on DU with bullshit

Here are all of the latest polls in Virginia:

Emerson 10/28-10/30 Clinton 49 Trump 45 Clinton +4 Clinton +5

Remington Research 10/30-10/30 Clinton 47 Trump 43 Clinton +4 Clinton +5

Washington Post 10/27-10/30 Clinton 48 Trump 42 Clinton +6 Clinton +5

Winthrop 10/23-10/30 Clinton 44 Trump 39 Clinton +5 Clinton +3

Hampton University Oct. 26-30 Clinton 41% Trump 44% Trump + 3 Trump +2

The first result shown (such as Clinton +4 for the first poll) is the actual result of the poll while the second in bold is the result corrected for bias by Nate Silver. The order in which they are listed indicates the weight given to each of the polls as assigned by Silver so of the five he considers the Winthrop poll the least accurate.

I think that if you are not a troll it is highly coincidental that you only reported on the poll which happens to provide the worst results and the one which is probably an outlier.

Oh by the way, Silver currently is giving Hillary an 82.6% chance of winning Virginia - I'll take those odds every day Mr. factfinder.

[book_worm]

24. I've noticed this about this poster, too.

and then many of the usual suspects come in to reinforce it.

[napkinz]

25. several threads

it's so obvious

[CajunBlazer]

27. I just did a search of his previous posts on DU

If he is a troll, and now don't think that he is, he has covered his track well with occasional positive posts.

[napkinz]

28. yep, I caught that ... tossed in a positive thread as if it would throw us off

[DemocratSinceBirth]

30. That is part of their M.O. They discuss how to infiltrate DU on other sites.

[obamanut2012]

60. yes

[Adrahil]

18. Jeez... enough of the bed-wetting.

There will be outliers. Relax. We're fine.

[Demsrule86]

21. And the concerned among us to report them.

Concerned or trolls?

[helpisontheway]

19. I posted a Cnu poll last week

that showed a 6 or 7 point gain in VA and everyone jumped down my throat. It was right after Trump left Virginia Beach. Hilllary has not been here at all. I haven't heard about Kaine being here either. If we lose VA with Kaine on the ticket she is in trouble. Hope northern VA turns out big because we have a bunch of nuts down here.

[Demsrule86]

23. Did you see the polls besides the one the OP who has a curious ability to find the worst polls in

every state. We are fine in Virgina.

[helpisontheway]

29. I hope so. I told everyone that there was no way Trump would win here

The thought makes me ill.

[CajunBlazer]

51. Relax, see my reply to this OP

http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=2574635

[book_worm]

22. Stop posting crap polls.

[vadermike]

32. We

Can't be like Romney Time to admit trump has a decent but smaller chance to win this thing I hate it It sux but it is what it is I know our base is fired up which should help us tho

[DemocratSinceBirth]

34. I will ask again.

Can I have the twitter link where Trump will be leading a NH poll tomorrow?


Thank you in advance.

[vadermike]

37. In the original thread

The poster deleted the original OP for some reason

[Demsrule86]

41. Maybe because it was bullshit.

[ProudToBeBlueInRhody]

42. Not in here either

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/new-hampshire/

[Demsrule86]

39. No he does not have a decent chance to win.

538 gives her above an 80% chance to win Virginia...the op is a concerned sort.

[Egnever]

50. Or you could try to figure out how he can win

And quickly realize it is not bloody likely.

[CajunBlazer]

54. See my reply to the OP

http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=2574635

[obamanut2012]

61. lulz

[Statistical]

35. B rated is a nice way of saying "full of shit". Honestly.

There are dozens of A+, A, and A- rated polling companies. B is essentially failing.

[Norbert]

36. Two polls with the last 24 hours.

Virginia 48% 42% Oct 27 Oct 30 George Mason U.
Virginia 49% 45% Oct 28 Oct 30 Emerson Coll.


This an out-liar. Nothing else to see here.

[redwitch]

38. He has NO path to victory. None. Nada. Zip. Fuck all.

Lots of polls out there but you might want to step away from them.

[Rex]

59. IKR!?

I guess people don't ever look at the aggregate. He has no chance in hell. None.

[Amishman]

43. Bullshit poll

We are fine in VA. And in PA. And in CO.

Hillary will be president, end of story.

[obamanut2012]

52. Oh, you again

[Rex]

58. But but but...he could gain 300% in just 5 days!

Seriously, this must be what the end stages of denial looks like.

[obamanut2012]

62. BUT THE EMAILS SHE DIDN'T SEND

hahhahahhahahha

[Rex]

65. 650K!!! COME ON GUY THAT IS A BIG NUMBER!

Granted they have nothing to do with her but...OH LOOK ACROSS THE STREET I SEE ELVIS!

[Rex]

53. He needs to gain 230% in less than a week.

And those are the facts.