Now I know Nate Silver is trolling

[vdogg]

A- poll comes in C+6, her chances rise from 68.8 to 69.0. One (1) B- poll comes in with her down 9 in Missouri, and she drops to 67.6? You can't make this shit up.

[vadermike]

1. Lolz

Wtf Nate

[PoliticAverse]

3. What, someone thinks it's an exact science because he uses decimal points? n/t

[brooklynite]

4. So you're accusing him of rigging his model?

If it makes you feel better...

[Demsrule86]

11. I don't think he is rigging it...just don't think the way he handles polling data is not correct.

Also, it is different than last time...different model...I think he will be way off.

[Dem2]

5. I took a snapshot because it was so messed up

[GusBob]

6. I will never forget his explanation after the Dem primary in Michigan

Lolz

[LAS14]

7. Can you summarize?

[GusBob]

9. The polls were all wrong!

It was bad luck,

It was poor timing!

We, it, there was a flood! No a hurricane! Um forest fire!

[ailsagirl]

8. I don't even go there anymore

I don't trust him

[LenaBaby61]

13. I don't even go there anymore ...

I stopped going there this summer even when Hillary was way up in the polls because I was hearing rumors about him and I'd begun to look at him just a bit differently. Nothing "nefarious," but enough for me to go looking elsewhere for polling data just than @ 538.

I've mostly been with Sam Wang over at Princeton Consortium and at a few other sites since this summer.

[workinclasszero]

15. I don't anymore either

He seems really off the rails lately.

[yardwork]

14. He's a Republican. At this point I have no respect for any of them.

[duffyduff]

16. Yeah, you CAN make shit up. That is what Nate and all of the others are doing.

n/t

[qdouble]

17. He's not really trolling, state polls effect the model more than national polls is all.

The reason why Hillary is up ~70% is due to her state margins, not the national polling averages. It would be tighter if it were based on national polling.