2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forum***ABC/WaPo National Tracking Poll Clinton +3***
Clinton 47
Trump 44
1 point swing in her favor since yesterday.
http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/hint-momentum-clinton-issues-defining-factor-poll/story?id=43281152
Adrahil
(13,340 posts)As I expected, a reversion to the mean. I think we have this.
regnaD kciN
(26,044 posts)I can't remember if yesterday was +3 or +2. If these are new numbers, it would suggest, at the least, that HRC has halted the slide.
ON EDIT: Thanks for updating the OP.
piechartking
(617 posts)Foggyhill
(1,060 posts)It was way off in 2012 and likly off now
Adrahil
(13,340 posts)But it does affect the media narrative, and hopefully calm some of the hand-wringers here.
Foggyhill
(1,060 posts)If they're on the nose it's mostly accidentally
At best, as an aggregate, if you exclude the most bullshit ones, they tell you the most probable winner of the national vote and trends
Neither really mean that much for the ELectoral. Otes
Means more for the media narrative
DCBob
(24,689 posts)and we are definitely trending in the correct direction!!