Ralston Final : It's that time of year: My predictions for NV on Tuesday. I see a blue wave coming.

[sunonmars]

http://www.rgj.com/story/news/politics/2016/11/05/ralston-how-deep-does-blue-wave-go/93349220/

The Democratic early voting effort, which was much more difficult with a nominee so many Democrats don’t like or trust, has been impressive — a valedictory statement from The Reid Machine. A nearly 73,000-ballot lead over Republicans for Democrats in Clark County beats the 2012 margin (71,000) — and President Obama won the state four years ago by nearly 7 points.

The Democrats even have a 1,000-ballot edge in Washoe. Ominous.

Yes, 2016 is not 2012. Hillary Clinton is not Barack Obama. Plenty of votes will be cast Tuesday.

But: About two-thirds of the votes already have been banked if the past is prologue, so unless the GOP can juice turnout to record levels on Election Day (especially in the rurals where Trump will win bigly) and win Tuesday by a huge margin (the Democrats won Election Day in 2012) and an unusual number of Democrats are voting for Trump (no reliable private polling shows this) and Trump wins independent voters by more than 20 points (reliable polling here shows him losing nonpartisans), he is cooked. Believe me!

The only real question, I think, is how deep the blue wave goes. My guess: Very deep. (I think Rep. Mark Amodei will be fine, but the stain of his full Trump embrace will linger when he returns to run for something in 2018.)

[shenmue]

1. Me too

[cilla4progress]

2. Senate?

[smorkingapple]

3. Why would all the Trump voters wait until Election Day to show up? Still dont get this.

[Cosmocat]

6. THEY ARE ENERGETIC!

that is what we have been hearing since the general started, right?

[CrispyQ]

4. Someone posted this fab pic the other day.