2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumRasmussen Poll Finds Republicans Circling the Drain in GA Senate Race
A Rasmussen Poll released on Friday May 23rd, shows Democrat Michelle Nunn leading both her potential rivals in the Georgia U.S. Senate race. Rasmussen polls are notorious for overestimating Republicans and underestimating Democrats, so Nunns lead may be even larger than the poll numbers suggest. According to the Rasmussen poll, Nunn has a 45-42 edge over Republican businessman David Perdue. Her lead over Jack Kingston is even greater. In that match-up she holds a 47-41 lead.
The Georgia poll numbers put a significant monkey wrench in the GOPs attempts to take control of the U.S. Senate in the November election. Republicans need to gain six seats to wrestle control of the Senate away from the Democrats. If the Republicans lose the race in Georgia, that task becomes nearly impossible. Perdue and Kingston will face each other in a primary run-off to be the GOP nominee for the U.S. Senate seat being vacated by Republican Senator Saxby Chambliss. Michelle Nunn clinched the Democratic Party nomination on Tuesday, cruising to a lopsided victory in the primary election.
http://www.politicususa.com/2014/05/24/rasmussen-poll-finds-republicans-circling-drain-ga-senate-race.html
is it possible that 2014 and 2016 will be the turning pioint for women to finally steer the Nation? Here's HOPING!
Erich Bloodaxe BSN
(14,733 posts)only because of Repubs losing in Republican stronghold southern states.
CurtEastPoint
(18,644 posts)lastlib
(23,234 posts)(along with Alison Grimes! (KY) )
sofa king
(10,857 posts)Recall that the Freeper "Buckhead," who blew Karl Rove's poisoned dart into Dan Rather's career, was also an election official in Georgia, one particularly interested in the workings of the electronic voting machines in his district....
I'm not in the mood to relive all of that by digging up the links. But as strange as the above sounds to those of you who are too young to remember it, it's all verifiable metaphor.
Georgia Republicans won't let that Senate seat get away from them. They'll steal it or shoot someone before that happens.
One of the comparatively recent developments we've seen in Republican election thievery is preparatory poll manipulation. Recall how many different polling organizations desperately "pushed" in favor of Mitt Romney all through September and October of 2012. Those polls were trying to establish a false but retroactively plausible record in favor of Romney before the election was stolen.
Then, when it became apparent that President Obama's victory would be overwhelming and attempted thievery would stand out, the polls flipped over the course of a weekend, and at least one state (Ohio) had to issue unscheduled emergency updates to the voting machines.
I think we'll see something similar at the state level in Georgia this year. First, polls like these will begin to lean ever more heavily in favor of the Republicans, or be artificially weighted in favor of them. Then we'll see the usual race-related caging, understaffing of polling places, rumor placement about cops being at the polls to pick up fugitives, and so on. Finally, the machines themselves and the counting of the votes will be found to be controlled by Republican shadow interests.
Unless the Democratic victory in Georgia is overwhelming and the process is observed at every level, I'm afraid I'm going to count Georgia--and every other Senate seat in the old Confederacy up for election this year--as out of reach, but not useless, for observation of how Republicans intend to fight against the growing tidal wave of Democratic support in the South, and prevent them from doing it in the much more important elections of 2016.
mopinko
(70,104 posts)(for those that saw that) i messaged them, telling them at we here know much.
dunno if they looked into it. i recommended that they talk to the fellows, who know much about all this that even the mods were never told.
did specifically tell them, tho, to du dan rather, buckhead, freerepublic, du.
will be listening closely to see if they did.
Fred Sanders
(23,946 posts)Courts and election officials. If they too are corrupt, then you got a problem.
See the Thailand military coup as a reference when the losers do not accept losing in a democracy.
Swede Atlanta
(3,596 posts)I am cautiously optimistic but a Democratic win would be a surprise.
My own view is Republicans just went through a mud-slinging primary in which each candidate tried to show they were more conservative than their opponents. Now we have Purdue who initially supported things like the Common Core, etc. backpedalling because Kingston is trying to paint him as a RINO.
The mud-slinging will become even more intense for the next 6-7 weeks until the runoff. After that I have no doubt Georgia conservatives will rally around the winner - establishment and tea party.
They will then use their collective vitriol to denigrate and paint Nunn as an Obama socialist who is not right for Georgia.
The truly uneducated Georgians just look for the candidate with the (R) by their name to decide for whom to vote because under conservative control Georgia continues the slide to the bottom. The evangelicals will let their Baptist pastor tell them to vote for the (R) because of gays, God and guns.
As I say I am supporting Nunn both with my vote and my $$$ but a Democratic victory would still be a pleasant surprise.
The same with Jason Carter running against the crooked governor Deal. He is polling well, within 3-4 points of Deal but I think the GOP establishment will ensure another 4 years of gridlocked state government, no expansion of Medicaid and a continued slide to the bottom.
Sunlei
(22,651 posts)Ga. demographics favor the Rs and turn-out of Ds has always sucked in that state.
R big money and all their political charities will have a couple months to tear her up and gather up R early votes, mail votes. A couple percent ahead means nothing when Rs are expert at chopping away at a couple percent of D votes.
johnlucas
(1,250 posts)I'll do my part to get them in there for the general election too.
Sick the old Confederacy & each & every time I'm gonna help break that establishment down.
Running these suckas out of Georgia!
Don't know how good these 2 will do if they get in there but it gets those other jackasses out.
Can't do nothing at all as long as these Confederates have sway over the system in Georgia.
Get the Republicans out & then we can deal with the Democrats.
John Lucas
aikoaiko
(34,170 posts)Either one of the republics will fight dirty, but we can win this race.
Jim Lane
(11,175 posts)That the Republican contenders trail Nunn by three points or six points, with more than five months to go before the election, doesn't mean they're "circling the drain." I really got my hopes up from that headline.
The text of the linked article describes the situation more accurately than the hyperventilating headline: "November is a long ways away still, and the Georgia Senate race remains competitive...."