2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumDrudge: Forwardlash - Gallup Swings Two Points in Obama's Favor Since Yesterday
Just kidding, Drudge would say no such thing, but Gallup today is the "forwardlash" to the Rasmussen "backlash" trumpeted earlier by Drudge in blaring red.
Romney 46 (-1) v. Obama 45 (+1)
http://www.gallup.com/poll/150743/Obama-Romney.aspx
Adenoid_Hynkel
(14,093 posts)But as soon as he loses it and Obama pulls ahead, it's never mentioned.
It's the classic rightwing media tactic of trying to pretend news they don't like didn't happen.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)Drudge is a pathetic partisan hack... impersonating a news site.
tcaudilllg
(1,553 posts)So it may be necessary to perhaps... call on Anonymous or something to perform DDoS attacks against Rasmussen/Drudge/etc.
But we'll see.
Mutiny In Heaven
(550 posts)Polls of likely voters have displayed movement towards Romney over the last week or so, and I felt - and still wouldn't be surprised - that Obama will see a very temporary decline while people figure out that how two consenting adults love each other has no impact whatsoever on their own lives and indeed only enhances the foundations upon which great democracies stand.
ShadowLiberal
(2,237 posts)My dad is a big strong republican always watching fox news, and when he left it on yesterday I couldn't help but overhear some of O'Reilly basically saying "Romney has opened up his largest lead over Obama ever in Gallup daily tracking polls, has Obama just lost the election by endorsing gay marriage".
Couldn't stop myself from chuckling, thinking back a week or two ago when republicans were touting Romney's big gallup lead that swung to just as big an Obama lead within a week in Gallup daily tracking.
Drunken Irishman
(34,857 posts)This is why I don't trust Gallup/Rasmussen. These wild shifts in support over only a few days proves how unreliable these tracking polls can be. Races don't swing that quickly unless there is dramatic development and while Obama's announcement in support of gay marriage could kind of sorta be considered that, this is something they've been doing all year. Romney will be up 7 and then, in three days, he's down 4. It doesn't work that way. Polls generally are stable or you start seeing a slow change - but nothing over a couple days period.
That's really the problem with these daily tracking polls. They're a snapshot at the moment - not a true representation of where the campaign is at. Other polls, that aren't on a rolling average, take that into account and you generally see a stable race.
Look at NBC News' polls:
4/13 - 4/17: Obama +6
2/29 - 3/3: Obama +6
1/22 - 1/24: Obama +6
12/7 - 12/11: Obama +2
Notice something? Pretty damn stable!
groundloop
(11,519 posts)What I don't get is why Obama isn't leading by 25 percent nationwide, but I'm a little biased.