2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumJodi Ernst is gonna LOSE
Des Moines is more of a big town than a city, and people here are leaning HEAVILY toward Braley. And it's not just me saying this. I have a friend who's a Register editor, and he says statewide it's looking like a 3-4% win for the Democrat.
thevoiceofreason
(3,440 posts)shenmue
(38,506 posts)JustAnotherGen
(31,823 posts)Another post I responded to in the Iowa forum -
http://www.democraticunderground.com/10512444
Reach out to your local Democratic Party and see if any folks will need rides to the polls.
FBaggins
(26,735 posts)Or is this just cheerleading?
Sort of. Depends on the poll.
PPP has Braley up by one point with 5% undecided.
http://www.lcv.org/assets/pdf/iowa-senate-poll-10-17-14.pdf
Quinnipiac has Braley behind by 2 points but Braley is leading in early voting which might help. And 7% say they might change their mind by election day.
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/iowa/release-detail?ReleaseID=2100
oldandhappy
(6,719 posts)I do not live there anymore. My heart goes out to Iowa. The photo of her pointing a gun at the camera broke my heart. Who wants that kind of congress person? Nuties!
wolfie001
(2,229 posts).....crazy!!!! Go Braley!
davidpdx
(22,000 posts)and implanted it into the new candidates. The same shit, different election.
Inspired
(3,957 posts)What an odd thing to say. But I hope you are right. I live in WDM and every other house has an Ernst yard sign. Sadly.
Bigredhunk
(1,349 posts)I say partially because there aren't THAT many yard signs in Dubuque, Davenport, etc
But the republican yard signs are much greater in # than the Dem ones. I think part of that is motivation. People are more motivated to put out yard signs AGAINST the current president unless things are going great. Same was true for us in 2006. Dems were tired of w and got tons of signs out there.
I don't know how much yard signs matter though. It's disheartening to see them. It makes me want to puke when I see them. Every f'in rural house/farm has republican signs (although that's always the case). But I remember how many signs Mike Whalen had in 2006. That's who Braley ran against that year. There were a ton of "Mike, Mike, Mike" signs (what a lame ass sign), and Braley cleaned his clock.
xocet
(3,871 posts)measurable and her negative numbers are the same. Sorry to debunk your thesis.
RBInMaine
(13,570 posts)xocet
(3,871 posts)The candidate is Joni Ernst not Jodi Ernst.
I hate that we make ourselves look bad when we cannot handle the most basic information like a candidate's name. Democrats ought to aspire to be better than the "Get A BRAIN! MORANS"-guy. At least, that is what I believe.
Thus, my message is not actually trolling though you seem to think it is. It is, however, a veiled comment against those who are not paying attention:
9. "Jodi Ernst is NOT going to lose. ALL polling indicates that her positive numbers are not even measurable and her negative numbers are the same. Sorry to debunk your thesis.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251381532#post9
The "candidate" JODI ERNST's positive and negative numbers are not measurable by any arbitrary poll in the context of this election, because there is no candidate JODI ERNST. Since there is no candidate JODI ERNST, the OP's thesis is disproven: i.e., candidate JODI ERNST can neither win nor lose the election. Hence, what I wrote is exactly true.
One just needs to know very basic information to understand my post.
Do you care to retract the post that labels me a troll?