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Principled Peter

(28 posts)
Fri Oct 24, 2014, 11:08 AM Oct 2014

Jodi Ernst is gonna LOSE

Des Moines is more of a big town than a city, and people here are leaning HEAVILY toward Braley. And it's not just me saying this. I have a friend who's a Register editor, and he says statewide it's looking like a 3-4% win for the Democrat.

16 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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JustAnotherGen

(31,823 posts)
6. I really hope for you guys she does!
Fri Oct 24, 2014, 12:01 PM
Oct 2014


Another post I responded to in the Iowa forum -

http://www.democraticunderground.com/10512444


Reach out to your local Democratic Party and see if any folks will need rides to the polls.

progressoid

(49,990 posts)
5. Both
Fri Oct 24, 2014, 11:46 AM
Oct 2014

Sort of. Depends on the poll.

PPP has Braley up by one point with 5% undecided.
http://www.lcv.org/assets/pdf/iowa-senate-poll-10-17-14.pdf

Quinnipiac has Braley behind by 2 points but Braley is leading in early voting which might help. And 7% say they might change their mind by election day.
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/iowa/release-detail?ReleaseID=2100


oldandhappy

(6,719 posts)
4. I certainly hope so.
Fri Oct 24, 2014, 11:44 AM
Oct 2014

I do not live there anymore. My heart goes out to Iowa. The photo of her pointing a gun at the camera broke my heart. Who wants that kind of congress person? Nuties!

davidpdx

(22,000 posts)
12. With some of these candidates it seems like they copied Sharon Angles viral filled brain
Sat Oct 25, 2014, 04:32 AM
Oct 2014

and implanted it into the new candidates. The same shit, different election.

Inspired

(3,957 posts)
8. Des Moines is a big town more than a city?
Fri Oct 24, 2014, 08:34 PM
Oct 2014

What an odd thing to say. But I hope you are right. I live in WDM and every other house has an Ernst yard sign. Sadly.

Bigredhunk

(1,349 posts)
13. This is partially true in Eastern Iowa too
Sat Oct 25, 2014, 04:57 AM
Oct 2014

I say partially because there aren't THAT many yard signs in Dubuque, Davenport, etc… But the republican yard signs are much greater in # than the Dem ones. I think part of that is motivation. People are more motivated to put out yard signs AGAINST the current president unless things are going great. Same was true for us in 2006. Dems were tired of w and got tons of signs out there.

I don't know how much yard signs matter though. It's disheartening to see them. It makes me want to puke when I see them. Every f'in rural house/farm has republican signs (although that's always the case). But I remember how many signs Mike Whalen had in 2006. That's who Braley ran against that year. There were a ton of "Mike, Mike, Mike" signs (what a lame ass sign), and Braley cleaned his clock.

xocet

(3,871 posts)
9. Jodi Ernst is NOT going to lose. ALL polling indicates that her positive numbers are not even
Fri Oct 24, 2014, 08:50 PM
Oct 2014

measurable and her negative numbers are the same. Sorry to debunk your thesis.

xocet

(3,871 posts)
11. Apparently, some people do not read before posting an OP or a comment....
Sat Oct 25, 2014, 12:46 AM
Oct 2014

The candidate is Joni Ernst not Jodi Ernst.

I hate that we make ourselves look bad when we cannot handle the most basic information like a candidate's name. Democrats ought to aspire to be better than the "Get A BRAIN! MORANS"-guy. At least, that is what I believe.

Thus, my message is not actually trolling though you seem to think it is. It is, however, a veiled comment against those who are not paying attention:

xocet (1,996 posts)

9. "Jodi Ernst is NOT going to lose. ALL polling indicates that her positive numbers are not even measurable and her negative numbers are the same. Sorry to debunk your thesis.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251381532#post9


The "candidate" JODI ERNST's positive and negative numbers are not measurable by any arbitrary poll in the context of this election, because there is no candidate JODI ERNST. Since there is no candidate JODI ERNST, the OP's thesis is disproven: i.e., candidate JODI ERNST can neither win nor lose the election. Hence, what I wrote is exactly true.

One just needs to know very basic information to understand my post.

Do you care to retract the post that labels me a troll?



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