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cali

(114,904 posts)
Fri Oct 24, 2014, 12:12 PM Oct 2014

I think we'll be able to tell fairly early on election night how bad it's going to be

I think NH is a bellwether state this year. If Brown wins over Shaheen and Garcia wins over Kuster, it's hard not to conclude that it will be a shitty night.

18 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Liberal_Stalwart71

(20,450 posts)
1. That Scott Brown has a chance in hell against Shaheen is the fault of NH voters.
Fri Oct 24, 2014, 12:16 PM
Oct 2014

If that's what they want, then so be it.

Sunlei

(22,651 posts)
15. “I gotta say it did not cross my mind,” Warren told supporters at the University of New Hampshire, “
Tue Oct 28, 2014, 07:18 AM
Oct 2014
“I gotta say it did not cross my mind,” Warren told supporters at the University of New Hampshire, “that after beating Scott Brown that what he would do is he would pack up his pickup truck and move to his vacation home in New Hampshire, to become the candidate to try to run against Jeanne Shaheen.”

RKP5637

(67,088 posts)
2. Yeah, I think so too. It's going to be a tense night, races are so close, but I think the trend
Fri Oct 24, 2014, 12:19 PM
Oct 2014

will be set early. What gets me is people are always so pissed with congress, so, they want to vote more republicans in? I just can't believe republican values is what America really wants, to be run over even more. Damn, we live in really fucked up times.

FBaggins

(26,721 posts)
8. NH isn't the bellwether unless we're losing the Senate seat there early on.
Fri Oct 24, 2014, 02:44 PM
Oct 2014

Right now, I'd say that NH and NC are the difference between 53-55 Republicans in the Senate. So if we're clearly losing there early after the polls close, it's a very bad night.

But we could easily win both of them and still lose the Senate outright (meaning... prior to runoffs in LA/GA).

I'd say that KS/IA/GA are the bellweather states as things stand today... and GA closes before NC or NH

NHDEMFORLIFE

(489 posts)
10. Kuster will be OK
Fri Oct 24, 2014, 11:10 PM
Oct 2014

Garcia is beginning to take on lots of water. A friend at one paper says they are on the verge of endorsing Kuster and lambasting Garcia, for her Tea Bagger views and her inability to form a coherent stand on just about anything.

My gut tells me Shaheen will win, but it will be a lot closer than it should be.

 

RBInMaine

(13,570 posts)
11. LET'S GOTV HARD AND MAKE IT A GOOD NIGHT WITH THE FOLLOWING:
Sat Oct 25, 2014, 05:37 AM
Oct 2014

Dems pickups of governorships including KS, Maine, FL, and PA (and others)

Dems HOLD the Senate

Dems pick up a few in the House


SO GET OUT THERE AND GOTV LIKE HELL

 

RBInMaine

(13,570 posts)
12. This won't be an issue IF Dems/Progressives come out and VOTE !
Sat Oct 25, 2014, 05:38 AM
Oct 2014

If you don't vote, then DO NOT BITCH !

 

cali

(114,904 posts)
14. sorry, I don't do faux... anything. And faux good cheer about this election
Tue Oct 28, 2014, 05:53 AM
Oct 2014

doesn't make any sense to me. I hope like hell that we can hold on to the Senate, but in the circus of fear enveloping this country, that seems unlikely.

 

Darb

(2,807 posts)
18. You are probably right about the "circus of fear"
Tue Oct 28, 2014, 01:18 PM
Oct 2014

it's unbelievable. We'll see. I am voting on election day, as I hope many will do.

 

demwing

(16,916 posts)
16. A "Bellwether" state makes sense in a national election
Tue Oct 28, 2014, 11:58 AM
Oct 2014

But in a midterm, NH is only an indication of NH

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