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brooklynite

(94,613 posts)
Wed Oct 29, 2014, 10:13 PM Oct 2014

Can we please cut out all the polling posts?

Every post that Braley's ahead or Crist is behind is irrelevant because the last poll, and likely the next poll will be different. Can't we just stipulate that every key race is within the margin of error, and will be decided entirely on voter turnout next Tuesday? Getting worked up, positively or negatively in the mean time is just a waste of effort.

7 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Can we please cut out all the polling posts? (Original Post) brooklynite Oct 2014 OP
Hide thread (nt) bigwillq Oct 2014 #1
All of them? I don't have that much time. brooklynite Oct 2014 #2
Trash by keyword then. Hassin Bin Sober Oct 2014 #7
Yup, you're right....and thank you. a kennedy Oct 2014 #3
Respectfully, polls "within the margin of error" still have good predictive value Hippo_Tron Oct 2014 #4
Please don't cut polling posts DavidDvorkin Oct 2014 #5
I am a political junkie who is addicted to them Samantha Oct 2014 #6

a kennedy

(29,678 posts)
3. Yup, you're right....and thank you.
Wed Oct 29, 2014, 11:01 PM
Oct 2014

I'm getting to worked up, all I can do is vote, and take others to vote, then just sit back relax and watch on Tuesday. Wanker going down, the Dems keeping control of the senate and Dems taking tons of State houses.

Hippo_Tron

(25,453 posts)
4. Respectfully, polls "within the margin of error" still have good predictive value
Wed Oct 29, 2014, 11:38 PM
Oct 2014

Margin of error makes it possible that the trailing candidate to actually be ahead, but the odds are still that the leading candidate is actually ahead.

Give this a read if you want to fully understand it.

http://www.motherjones.com/kevin-drum/2012/10/one-last-encore-great-statistical-tie-fallacy

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