2016 Postmortem

moobu2

(4,822 posts) Sat Jul 4, 2015, 12:55 AM Jul 2015

This message was self-deleted by its author

This message was self-deleted by its author (moobu2) on Wed Jul 8, 2015, 02:55 AM. When the original post in a discussion thread is self-deleted, the entire discussion thread is automatically locked so new replies cannot be posted.

15 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

This message was self-deleted by its author (Original Post) moobu2 Jul 2015 OP

What about the other candidates? Rosa Luxemburg Jul 2015 #1

This message was self-deleted by its author moobu2 Jul 2015 #3

You make your decision in the Primaries based on who is most likely to win the Primaries? Bonobo Jul 2015 #2

This message was self-deleted by its author moobu2 Jul 2015 #4

Interesting. Cleita Jul 2015 #5

You don't know how PaddyPower works. sgtbenobo Jul 2015 #6

They've also been known to not pay on long odds. joshcryer Jul 2015 #7

PredictIt is much more realistic. joshcryer Jul 2015 #8

I wonder how liquid that site is... DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2015 #14

Only 9:1 now? Guess I should have jumped in when they had it at 100:1 in March. pa28 Jul 2015 #9

I'll give ya 100 to 1, Oldenuff Jul 2015 #10

And if Bernie doesn't get the nom? JaneyVee Jul 2015 #13

There are a few online bookies that will take bets on US politics. DanTex Jul 2015 #11

Anyone know what Presidents odds were at this time in 2007? jwirr Jul 2015 #12

Fine. I'll lay down some money. Bellower Jul 2015 #15

Rosa Luxemburg

(28,627 posts)

1. What about the other candidates?

Reply to moobu2 (Original post)

Sat Jul 4, 2015, 12:59 AM

Jul 2015

Response to Rosa Luxemburg (Reply #1)

moobu2 This message was self-deleted by its author.

Bonobo

(29,257 posts)

2. You make your decision in the Primaries based on who is most likely to win the Primaries?

Reply to moobu2 (Original post)

Sat Jul 4, 2015, 01:01 AM

Jul 2015

Weird.

Response to Bonobo (Reply #2)

moobu2 This message was self-deleted by its author.

Cleita

(75,480 posts)

5. Interesting.

Reply to moobu2 (Original post)

Sat Jul 4, 2015, 01:23 AM

Jul 2015

I have made money at the race track on long shots. Unfortunately, on those occasions I only bet a couple of dollars,which is my habit. I don't have much of a gambling gene in me.

sgtbenobo

(327 posts)

6. You don't know how PaddyPower works.

Reply to moobu2 (Original post)

Sat Jul 4, 2015, 01:45 AM

Jul 2015

They encourage people to bet by just making shit up. It's called marketing.

joshcryer

(62,269 posts)

7. They've also been known to not pay on long odds.

Reply to sgtbenobo (Reply #6)

Sat Jul 4, 2015, 01:59 AM

Jul 2015

Not sure how they haven't been shut down with all their controversies.

joshcryer

(62,269 posts)

8. PredictIt is much more realistic.

Reply to moobu2 (Original post)

Sat Jul 4, 2015, 02:05 AM

Jul 2015

Even though most bettors on there are small time, they are involved very politically, so their opinions are actually more than just people throwing money around.

Currently Sanders is hovering around 3:1 on PredictIt which reflects the polls rather well.

Best to spend money on the campaign rather than betting.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)

14. I wonder how liquid that site is...

Reply to joshcryer (Reply #8)

Sat Jul 4, 2015, 01:59 PM

Jul 2015

I won some money at the old intrade site on the 08 CA D primary...

pa28

(6,145 posts)

9. Only 9:1 now? Guess I should have jumped in when they had it at 100:1 in March.

Reply to moobu2 (Original post)

Sat Jul 4, 2015, 02:16 AM

Jul 2015

Oh well.

Oldenuff

(582 posts)

10. I'll give ya 100 to 1,

Reply to moobu2 (Original post)

Sat Jul 4, 2015, 05:45 AM

Jul 2015

That I won't be duped into voting for Hillary...period.I don't think I am alone in this either.This may be our only chance to actually get a candidate that is worth a crap.

I can see VP Biden getting into the race,not to take votes from Hillary,but to take votes away
from Bernie.

The powers that be want Hillary,and they will stop at nothing to make sure she is the candidate.

Course,I am just an average Joe...and I don't understand all the inner workings by devious and powerful people to get "their" candidate elected...but I am really sure that it does happens,and is happening now.

JaneyVee

(19,877 posts)

13. And if Bernie doesn't get the nom?

Reply to Oldenuff (Reply #10)

Sat Jul 4, 2015, 01:43 PM

Jul 2015

DanTex

(20,709 posts)

11. There are a few online bookies that will take bets on US politics.

Reply to moobu2 (Original post)

Sat Jul 4, 2015, 08:42 AM

Jul 2015

But I don't know how many of them take bets from the US. Oddschecker aggregates the odds from a bunch of them. Looks like most places have Bernie at around 10-1 or 9-1.
http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/us-politics/us-presidential-election-2016/democrat-candidate

jwirr

(39,215 posts)

12. Anyone know what Presidents odds were at this time in 2007?

Reply to moobu2 (Original post)

Sat Jul 4, 2015, 01:39 PM

Jul 2015

Bellower

(52 posts)

15. Fine. I'll lay down some money.

Reply to moobu2 (Original post)

Sat Jul 4, 2015, 02:08 PM

Jul 2015

Bernie wins it all.