2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumSo... post debate. Webb and Chaffee, et al.
Neither was awful. But neither distinguished themselves either. I expect one or both of these guys to be out within the month. I think O'Malley made just enough waves to stay alive. Clnton and Sanders both did well, and I expect we won;t see huge moves in their numbers.
Putting aside who you think won the debate, what do you think will happen. Not what you WANT to happen or some BS political spin, what do you think WILL happen?
Erich Bloodaxe BSN
(14,733 posts)with those voters who are actually voting for her based on her policy choices.
I think Bernie ate into her support with those voters who were voting for her based on name recognition.
I think O'Malley also might gain a few points in polls.
I think Chafee and Webb are dead in the water.
peacebird
(14,195 posts)Adrahil
(13,340 posts)Maybe. I'm not sure I agree with you there. I think Bernie has already grabbed the support of those interested in a more Democratic Socialist point of view. But it'll be interesting to see if you're right. My gut feeling was that Hillary supporters would be very happy with her performance (she was great, IMO). And I also think Sanders supporters would be very pleased with HIS performance (he was Bernie... a little rough around the edges, but genuine, and committed to his point of view). I'm not sure either will change anyone's minds. I agree with the rest of your analysis.
Erich Bloodaxe BSN
(14,733 posts)Based on the number of them I keep running into and talking to. And given the percentage of the population that actually watched the debate, there will STILL be a lot of folks who know squat about him, but yes, I do expect at least some bump to come from the debate. Bernie wasn't preaching to the choir, like some pundits said. He was preaching to the potential additions to the choir, folks who still hadn't really heard about him.
Adrahil
(13,340 posts)I wouldn't be surprised to see a little boost for him based on folks getting to know him. But I think anyone who was watching the debate is likely to already know about him and at least have a preliminary opinion.
We'll know when we see the polls come out early next.
Erich Bloodaxe BSN
(14,733 posts)Always in the past, I'd chosen a candidate before the debates were lined up, and figured there really wasn't any point to watching the debates. The only reason I did this time was because of the 'live blogging' going on onsite. I actually find it weird that people who have chosen candidates would be the ones watching debates; I'd have assumed it was people who hadn't who were the main audience.
Adrahil
(13,340 posts)Everyone I know who is in the "undecided" category right now is just not terribly engaged with politics. They didn't (as far as I know) watch the debates. They'll make up their minds 2 weeks before the primaries, assuming they decide to vote in them at all.
onehandle
(51,122 posts)NightWatcher
(39,343 posts)Webb could score 5% over in republicanville. He's closer to what they were before they went all teabagger