Ohio, Virginia, Florida - the biggies

[flamingdem]

Jimmy Williams says he spoke with the Obama campaign and this is their focus

[Dawgs]

1. If he wins two out of those three it's over. WI and MI are also important. n/t

[flamingdem]

2. NYT article / poll saying that Medicare may be the deciding issue

http://www.nytimes.com/2012/08/23/us/politics/polls-say-medicare-is-key-issue-in-3-swing-states.html?_r=1&pagewanted=all

The Romney-Ryan proposal to reshape Medicare by giving future beneficiaries fixed amounts of money to buy health coverage is deeply unpopular in Florida, Ohio and Wisconsin, according to new polls that found that more likely voters in each state trust President Obama to handle Medicare.

[RedSpartan]

3. Win Florida and it's over.

Romney can basically win all other swing states and still lose.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=78265

[flamingdem]

4. I like that

and hope it's not too "rigged" in Florida.

At least Scott and Romney are not good buddies

[speedoo]

5. Be careful with that.

Romney could be elected if he wins New Hampshire in that scenario.

[RedSpartan]

7. That's true. I actually noted that in a response to the post I linked to.

Again, though, that would be the most unlikely, perfect storm scenario for Rmoney. But you're right. Let's just make sure that NH doesn't have to be the President's firewall. If so, we're in bad shape.

[obxhead]

6. VA is a double whammy

Shameless self promotion:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/125178464

Cantor can be defeated! Please help!

[flamingdem]

8. Oooh. Good point. Two birds, one big democratic rock n/t

[johnnyrocket]

9. Florida is a mess, no way to know what it will do, Ohio is an enigma...

...whats wrong with Ohioans? It's going to be Virginia, Northern VA especially. NOVA women will overwhelmingly pull it off for Obama. The rest of the state has been 'tamed' by Northern Virginians.

[flamingdem]

10. Thanks for this info

What IS wrong with Ohio, also hard to count on the vote tally being accurate there .. add that to voter suppression

[Motown_Johnny]

11. Rmoney needs all 3. If/When Pres. Obama wins one or more of those three

it will be over. Here is an interactive map. Give Pres. Obama any one of those three and see how hard it is for Rmoney to get to 270. If you add in New Hampshire (4) then any other state gets us to 270. At that point Rmoney has to sweep and that doesn't seem reasonable.


http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/ecalculator#?battleground

[flamingdem]

12. I like that news

It doesn't seem reasonable in any way that Rmoney would win.. however the pundits are pushing him today, saying that it's a real toss up, even msnbc's Howard Feinman.

[Motown_Johnny]

15. They still need to fill air time for the next 2 months.

Purely a marketing campaign for their news divisions.

[grantcart]

14. I wondered why it was so close when I added Ohio, VA, FL and Iowa.

Turns out I hit CA by accident and Obama still won.

[grantcart]

13. and North Carolina. No accident that the convention is in North Carolina.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/08/obama-holds-narrow-edge-in-north-carolina.html

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/.a/6a0133f2dd8001970b01761713d837970c-pi

If you look at the chart it shows that with changes in migration this will be the last time that the Republicans can expect much in North Carolina, and they may lose it this time.

If they lose North Carolina then Romney's back is broken, there is no chance to win in November.