2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumHillary Clinton Is The Most Establishment-Approved Candidate On Record
By Harry Enten of 538
FiveThirtyEight tracks the endorsements of members of Congress and governors because they are highly correlated with the outcome of the primary. In the book The Party Decides where the strong correlation between endorsements and primary outcome was clearly demonstrated the authors point out that there are basically two types of primaries: Ones in which a single candidate wins the party over before Iowa (like in 2000 on both the Democratic and Republican sides) and ones in which most party actors stay on the sidelines until voting begins (like in 2008 on both sides). The former is very predictable; the latter is far more unpredictable and can produce a number of possible winners.
The 2016 Democratic contest is clearly in the more predictable camp (this years GOP race, of course, is not). Clinton already has 71 percent of all possible endorsement points on the Democratic side.
...
Of course, the amazing thing about Clintons current run is that the Iowa caucuses are 79 days away. She still has time to pick up more endorsements. Indeed, Clinton has been endorsed by more governors and members of Congress in the past three weeks than all the other Democratic and Republican presidential candidates combined.
And those endorsements have come from across the party. Clintons been endorsed by two African-American members of Congress (Bennie Thompson of Mississippi and Gwen Moore of Wisconsin) and one Latino representative (Tony Cárdenas of California). Endorsements like these may influence voters. Or perhaps the cause-and-effect relationship is the reverse, and the endorsements reflect voter sentiment. Either way, Clinton is doing very well among non-white voters in the primary.
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4 paragraph limit, but I think you get the gist of it.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/hillary-clinton-is-the-most-establishment-approved-candidate-on-record/
PatrickforO
(14,576 posts)we all even get the chance to vote, don't they?
As Al used to say, "I don't think so, Tim."
ibegurpard
(16,685 posts)Are you really sure you want to run with that?
Godhumor
(6,437 posts)Having party support is nothing to be ashamed of.
Armstead
(47,803 posts)I know, stop the GOP...But what beyond that?
RBInMaine
(13,570 posts)frylock
(34,825 posts)Mnpaul
(3,655 posts)He jumped in with an unpopular congress. He was going to clean up the corruption. It turned out that his cabinet was just as bad.
I can't believe that people really want to go down this path again.
RBInMaine
(13,570 posts)Fred Sanders
(23,946 posts)Godhumor
(6,437 posts)But establishment is literally the "established" (i.e. current) representatives of the party. For some reason people think having establishment support is a negative.
Rogue Democrat
(71 posts)These are establishment people.
frylock
(34,825 posts)Third Way is a Washington, D.C.-based public policy think tank founded in 2005 by former staffers who worked in the Clinton administration. The think tank develops policy ideas, conducts public opinion research and hosts issue briefings. The organization has four policy divisions: Economics, National Security, Clean Energy, and Social Policy & Politics. Third Way develops and advocates for policies that it says represent the "vital center".
Third Way was honored as "2013 North American Think Tank of the Year" by Prospect, a British monthly current affairs magazine, for its "original, influential, and rigorous work on the most pressing challenges facing people, governments, and businesses". In 2012, the first year that Prospect issued a prize for North America, the award went to The Carnegie Endowment. The judges commended Third Way for "making a real impact on debate in the center ground of American politics".
The board of the Third Way is made up almost entirely of investment bankers and other Wall Street executives.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Third_Way_(think_tank)
http://www.thirdway.org/
Mnpaul
(3,655 posts)They seem to think it will magically disappear if they deny it exists.
They think Hillary will do their bidding if elected. The idea that Hillary is beholden to someone else can't be true.