PPP: Obama leads 51-44 in Michigan

[WI_DEM]

Not bad going into the convention in another of Romney's 'home states.':

A new Public Policy Polling survey in Michigan finds President Obama leading Mitt Romney by seven points, 51% to 44%.

Key finding: "That reflects the fact that despite his ties to the state, Michigan voters just don't embrace Romney. Only 45% have a favorable opinion of him to 49% with an unfavorable one. They don't accept Romney as one of their own either- only 34% consider him to be a Michigander to 57% who do not."

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/09/03/obama_leads_in_michigan.html

[Jennicut]

1. Mittens is not going to do well in his "home state."

I know he said he won't pull out of Michigan like McCain did but why waste your money and time on a lost cause?

[speedoo]

2. Also, more evidence of a failed RNC convention.

In the PPP write up, basically no change in support after the convention.

[woolldog]

3. Anyone find the composition of the electorate troubling?

34% Republican

33% Dem

Compared to 2008:

41% Dem

29% Republican

[WI_DEM]

4. PPP and a lot of other pollsters have been going by the belief that the

2012 electorate will look more like 2010 than 2008. I don't agree. I don't think it will be as blue as 2008 but I also don't think it will be as red as 2010. But those numbers make Obama's 7-point lead in Michigan, according to this poll, look even better, imo.

[woolldog]

5. I don't think PPP re-weights results, so they're not going by any particular belief.

This is what their sample found was the composition of the electorate. That's a little scary, imo.

It does make the numbers look better (in Michigan), but it shows we really need to make sure to GOTV.

[WI_DEM]

7. it will all come down to GOTV.

[longship]

6. Woo Hoo! Above the magic 50%!

Keep 'em comin'.

This ought to be solid Obama now. Just wait for Obama's post convention bounce. Mitt is going to be hanging his head because he didn't get one.



R& fuckin'

[WI_DEM]

8. I like that too.