Dec 23 Iowa Gravis Poll: Clinton 49, Sanders 31, O'M 10

[riversedge]

And The Force is with Hillary and her Team -Tis the Season to be Jolly, fa la la la....


Gravis Marketing @GravisMarketing

Gravis marketing Iowa Poll Results http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/current-iowa-polling-3/ …
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5:54 PM - 23 Dec 2015




Gravis Iowa Caucus Republican and Democrat Public Opinion Poll
December 23, 2015


Gravis MarketingWinter Springs, Fla. – An extended lead for Democrat Presidential candidate Hillary Clinton and a virtual tie on the Republican side highlights a recent Gravis Marketing poll from Iowa. The nonpartisan research firm based in Winter Springs, Fla recently conducted a random phone survey of 1,027 registered, likely primary voters in Iowa that was split into two specific demographics. The automated IVR survey which was conducted from December 18th to the 21st, includes 440 Republican Caucus participants, 418 Democratic Caucus participants, and the remainder not planning on participating in the caucus, but is planning to vote in the regular elections.

[jfern]

1. LOL, Gravis

[riversedge]

3. Happy Holidays Dec 23: Cnn/ORC Poll> Clinton 50, Sanders 34

Maybe cnn suites your tastes better.


Great TWEET
Happy Holidays Dec 23: Cnn/ORC Poll> Clinton 50, Sanders 34 http://www.cnn.com/2015/12/23/politics/cnn-orc-poll-hillary-clinton-bernie-sanders/ #p2

[Dem2]

13. Ipsos/Reuters 12/23 H58, B31, M4

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/ipsos-reuters-23413

Edit: Trump has a 26 point lead over Cruz in that poll - lol.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

15. Merry Christmas/Happy Holidays, Friend/nt

[BlueMTexpat]

5. True about Gravis for some outlier polls.

But the spread between Hillary and Bernie is close to that in the CNN poll, so the Gravis result might be more reliable than some.

What is exciting about this one, IMO, is that MO'M made it to double digits.

[joshcryer]

6. A MOM supporter here on DU told me this would happen.

I was surprised, apparently MOM has a lot of endorsements at the local level in IA and has a big ground game there.

MOM, imo, poses a significant threat to Sanders going in to IA and NH, because if he makes a good showing in IA it might convince NH voters to give him votes, which could eat in to Sanders' votes. Sanders needs the momentum and media coverage coming out of IA and NH. A good showing or win in IA would propel him forward, and winning NH (which I think he will do unless MOM is a significant threat) would bolster his campaign.

[NCTraveler]

7. Valid points...

And I have written about MO'M building ground support in Iowa. Mainly elected and connected people. I have no clue what his impact will be. If he meets threshold in caucuses it could be huge.

[BlueMTexpat]

8. I think that your assessment of

MOM as a potential threat to Bernie in IA is spot on, regardless of the polls right now. In many ways, they attract the same kinds of non-Hillary voters. But MOM's voters are generally also longtime Dems. As you also say, he has quite a few local endorsements and a good ground game.

Those three elements are all extremely important everywhere, but especially in a caucus state like IA.

[Happenstance24]

10. Bernie's screwed either way IMO

Even if Sanders wins Iowa and NH he isn't gonna get the media coverage he'll need to overcome Hillary in the more "diverse" states no matter what. Does anyone here really think the day after Iowa and NH the media is gonna be anything but "Trump rules all", or "Trump fails"? Unless Sanders wins Iowa and NH by huge margins, which isn't gonna happen, Bernie will be drowned out by Trump, as everyone else has been the past 6 months.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

2. Happy New Year, riversedge, my dear friend

May it bring us a Clinton presidency.

[riversedge]

4. That is a lovely thought. We had our

first snowfall last evening. (after 2 days of solid rain). It is be white for the holidays.

I am happy and hope you and yours are happy and well also.

And oh---yes, may the new year bring on Madam President.

[Iliyah]

9. There is a trend in favor of HRC

Good will towards men, and happy holidays

[gordyfl]

11. Gravis Poll has Earned Poor Ratings

I was interested when I read the poll, until I noticed it was a Gravis Poll. They've been way off target in the past.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

12. Great news, thanx for posting. Please keep us apprised./nt

[lunamagica]

14. K&R. Go Hillary! Thabnk you, Rivers!