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DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
Tue Jan 12, 2016, 01:31 PM Jan 2016

PPP (D) Iowa Poll-Clinton 46% Sanders 40% O'Malley 8%





Things are tightening up on the Democratic side. Hillary Clinton now leads
Bernie Sanders 46/40, with Martin O'Malley at 8%. Clinton is down 6 points
from her 52% a month ago, while Sanders is up 6 points from his previous 34%
standing. The increased tightness of the race has a lot more to do with Sanders
than it does Clinton. Clinton's favorability is 72/22 this month after being 73/19
last month, a minimal change. But Sanders' favorability has shot up from a 65/23
spread to now 79/13 so his popularity is clearly growing as the voting nears. The
good news for Clinton is that 78% of her voters are firmly committed to her,
compared to 64% of Sanders' who say the same for him. Clinton's lead goes up to
53/39 among those who have their minds totally made up.
O'Malley's continued presence in the race is helping Clinton. In Iowa we find his
supporters would prefer Sanders over Clinton 43/20, and in New Hampshire
they prefer Sanders over Clinton 47/13. So to some extent O'Malley is helping to
split the anti-Hillary vote.
There are some pretty big demographic divides in the Democratic race. Clinton
leads 52/36 with women, but Sanders is up 46/39 with men. Clinton leads 64/26
with seniors, but Sanders is up 55/33 with younger voters. Clinton's 47/38
advantage with middle aged voters pretty well mirrors the overall numbers.


http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_IA_11216.pdf
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PPP (D) Iowa Poll-Clinton 46% Sanders 40% O'Malley 8% (Original Post) DemocratSinceBirth Jan 2016 OP
K & R Iliyah Jan 2016 #1
Plus, PP is usaully on the mark! Iliyah Jan 2016 #2
But...millennials. nt LexVegas Jan 2016 #3
None of the millennialis in my office is registered to vote. nt onehandle Jan 2016 #4
Sounds like you need to register some voters. morningfog Jan 2016 #5
You probably have landlines in your office. nt LexVegas Jan 2016 #6
Young people don't vote... Sancho Jan 2016 #8
I know, and I have come to the conclusion that HRC will win IA Iliyah Jan 2016 #7
Jeez,these polls are all over the place. nt sufrommich Jan 2016 #9
They really are. I have no idea how Iowa will go. cali Jan 2016 #10
Both Quinnipiac and PPP are well respected polls too.nt sufrommich Jan 2016 #11
Me neither now, too many factors in play. Weather on caucus night being one of them. emulatorloo Jan 2016 #14
They really are Aerows Jan 2016 #13
Good numbers. Getting near time to close the deal. oasis Jan 2016 #12
On caucus night couldn't supporters of O'Malley switch to another candidate if their book_worm Jan 2016 #15
k&r Starry Messenger Jan 2016 #16
K&R Skidmore Jan 2016 #17

Iliyah

(25,111 posts)
7. I know, and I have come to the conclusion that HRC will win IA
Tue Jan 12, 2016, 01:43 PM
Jan 2016

and probably NH, but ya'know that corporate media wants a horse race. Remember Cruz beating T-rump by double figures? Well guess what, T-rump is now ahead. . . .

And PP being the most accurate in 2012, I trust them.

emulatorloo

(44,164 posts)
14. Me neither now, too many factors in play. Weather on caucus night being one of them.
Tue Jan 12, 2016, 02:55 PM
Jan 2016

Brutally cold in IA currently.

book_worm

(15,951 posts)
15. On caucus night couldn't supporters of O'Malley switch to another candidate if their
Tue Jan 12, 2016, 03:14 PM
Jan 2016

candidate doesn't meet a certain threshhold? If so, that might be more helpful for the Sanders campaign than Clinton.

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