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Tue Feb 28, 2012, 10:43 PM

NBC: Fears grow of Israel-Iran missile shootout

With tensions between Israel and Iran running sky high over the latter’s nuclear program, U.S. officials and military analysts are growing increasingly concerned that Israel will launch a multi-phase air and missile attack that could trigger waves of retaliatory missile strikes from Tehran.

-snip-

The emerging consensus among current and former U.S. officials and other experts interviewed by NBC News is that that an Israeli attack would be a multi-faceted assault on key Iranian nuclear installations, involving strikes by both warplanes and missiles. It could also include targeted attacks by Israeli special operations forces and possibly even the use of massive explosives-laden drones, they say.

The Iranian response to such an attack is uncertain, but many experts and officials believe it is likely to include retaliatory missile strikes. Iran has more missiles in its arsenal than Israel, according to some estimates, and has the capability of striking targets in most Israeli population centers.

-snip-

Israel has as many as 100 Jericho ballistic missiles – both short- and medium-range – as well as submarine-launched cruise missiles, though the officials say they believe the latter are unlikely to be used. The short-range Jericho I missiles would be of no use in an attack on Iran, because the targets are far beyond its 300-mile range. However, the medium-range Jericho II’s are capable of hitting targets as far as 900 miles away – or as far east as Tehran. Israel also tested a Jericho III intercontinental ballistic missile in 2008 and Israeli media have reported that it may have deployed one or more of the weapons, which would put all of Iran within reach.

Full: http://openchannel.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2012/02/28/10534518-fears-grow-of-israel-iran-missile-shootout

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Reply NBC: Fears grow of Israel-Iran missile shootout (Original post)
Ruby the Liberal Feb 2012 OP
jimlup Feb 2012 #1
Ruby the Liberal Feb 2012 #2
jimlup Feb 2012 #3
Ruby the Liberal Feb 2012 #4
ellisonz Mar 2012 #5

Response to Ruby the Liberal (Original post)

Tue Feb 28, 2012, 10:54 PM

1. Oh God!

This could escalate if the Israeli's decide to cross the line. This could get really ugly really fast.

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Response to jimlup (Reply #1)

Tue Feb 28, 2012, 11:03 PM

2. Thats the thing I think everyone is watching.

The whole "it could happen soon" has been batted around for years now, but I don't think anyone doubts that if it does happen, it will get ugly and quick.

Hopefully, this is all still just war games projection.

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Response to Ruby the Liberal (Reply #2)

Tue Feb 28, 2012, 11:04 PM

3. It occurs to me that the Israeli's might game this out and as a result decide to...

Go with a bunker busting nuke on the first strike... and tactical nukes at Iran missile sites to preempt an Iranian retaliation. That scares me quite a bit.

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Response to jimlup (Reply #3)

Tue Feb 28, 2012, 11:13 PM

4. I may be misstating this

but I believe one of the concerns about a strike against Iran is that their development labs are so far underground that conventional bunker busters wouldn't be effective (wouldn't be able to get to the target).

I'll try to see if I can find that in print.

Edit - lots of sources. Heres one non-blog writeup:

Another critical difference from the prewar discussion in 2003 is the central role of Israel, which views the possibility of an Iranian nuclear weapon as a threat to its very existence and has warned that Iran’s nuclear facilities may soon be buried too deep for foreign bombers to reach.


http://www.nytimes.com/2012/02/22/world/middleeast/in-din-over-iran-echoes-of-iraq-war-news-analysis.html

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Response to Ruby the Liberal (Original post)

Thu Mar 1, 2012, 02:58 AM

5. Not gonna happen.

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