Bernie Sanders
Related: About this forumBernie Sanders Projected To Win California With 61.25% Gaining 398 Delegates
Polling in California gives a clear indication Bernie will win with 61.25%. This also could give him enough delegates to take the lead over Hillary. As we posted in How Bernie Sanders Is Going To Win
If you are a Bernie Supporter who does Phone Banking, this is the moment you need to dedicate more time then you ever have before. California is by far the most important state in this race.
http://sourceplanet.net/politics/bernie-sanders-projected-to-win-california-with-61-25-gaining-398-delegates/
Great news! Sanders for President 2016!
Ahead in California which is no surprise to me!
398 Delegates are on Bernie Sanders' way! & Feel The Bern!
mikeysnot
(4,756 posts)The real candidate!
CountAllVotes
(20,870 posts)The real candidate with REAL values!
YES YES YES!!!!
TheFarseer
(9,322 posts)That would be just amazing.
bjo59
(1,166 posts)I'm afraid to get excited about this cuz, you know, Az., Il., etc.
LiberalElite
(14,691 posts)have stopped counting those chicks before they hatch.
Joob
(1,065 posts)Nyan
(1,192 posts)CountAllVotes
(20,870 posts)But straight to the White House in 2017!
Duckfan
(1,268 posts)This needs to be spread around to keep the troops pumped!! I think he will get PR and New Mexico as well. About 60 for PR, 34 in NM. Add that to the 398 and you get 492. So with the split I'm guessing Bernie could get about 400 in one week! WOW. Then I hope to get HC's pic off my computer. I'm sick of looking at her.
Land of Enchantment
(1,217 posts)band of idgits running the party here. Complete nincompoops. HRC is Deeply Entrenched. Closed primary.
The last governor's race they ran Gary King, son of Bruce King. In the 70's when Texas tried to STEAL our water, Bruce threatened to call out the Enchilada Air Force and bomb them. Texas was drilling water wells on our side of the eastern boundary. Bruce was like God here, Gary, not so much. He won the D-primary with only 20% of voters turning out then went on to be crushed by Suzanna Martinez--the worst governor ever. She had to win so she could be Jeb!s VP but that didn't work out for her. Local news tonight said she will NOT be attending Trump's rally here next week. Bubba will be here too at the same time. I have some hope but not a lot....sorry
LiberalElite
(14,691 posts)she nauseates me THAT MUCH.
jillan
(39,451 posts)body language or the way she rolls her eyes at people that question her.
Land of Enchantment
(1,217 posts)CountAllVotes
(20,870 posts)Brightens up a very grim day for me. I hope the same is true for you.
Land of Enchantment
(1,217 posts)something personal or the interminable bs going on here?
I've gone a few rounds here this evening, not much fun. This might bring you some cheer!
http://www.democraticunderground.com/1017375993
CountAllVotes
(20,870 posts)and my cat is near death.
I'm admittedly at the end of my rope.
Flying Squirrel
(3,041 posts)I'm putting him down. It was so awful watching the last one die. (I'm sure it was no picnic for him either)
CountAllVotes
(20,870 posts)In my decrepit condition we will go! I got the name of someone else and they told me the place I took her too was a batch of crooks!
I'll be taking her there today to find out what they think the problem is.
She is absolutely the sweetest cat I've ever had the pleasure of having and I'm not ready to let her go quite yet until I have some answers at to what the problem is.
Glad to know that those other people are crooks because when I get better, I'll sue the fuckers. Yes I will. That you can believe in. Seems they charged $1500 on a lady's credit card that is disabled without her consent. I'm going after these SOBs, believe me because I hate hearing about this kind of crap and what about the next person out there?!
Flying Squirrel
(3,041 posts)Hope you are able to stop these ones. Good luck with your cat.
jillan
(39,451 posts)NJCher
(35,669 posts)Life can be very damned difficult at times.
Cher
Jack Rabbit
(45,984 posts)silvershadow
(10,336 posts)findrskeep
(713 posts)Go Bernie GO!!!!!!!!!!!
dreamnightwind
(4,775 posts)First, I hope Bernie can pull off that margin of victory here in California. There is a ton of enthusiasm for him. An exit poll would be informative too.
But the 398 figure (she would get 147) is derived by multiplying California's total delegate count by 0.73 (73%), which was Bernie's percentage in Washington (pretty random if you ask me, and definitely best case).
With the 61.25% he is apparently polling at (I'm taking their word for it), he gets 334 delegates, she gets 212 (rounding).
We definitely need to do all we can in these last few primaries. Phone bank, tabling (too late now for registration changes), door knocking efforts, sticker up anything that is yours and gets seen, yard signs, attend Bernie Light Brigade events or Honk and Waves, let's see what we can do and figure out what to do next after the primary.
There are a lot of storm clouds around Team Clinton these days, from FBI investigations to alarmingly high negative polling, and her poor polling in a head-to-head against Trump, not to mention a late surge by Sanders. Plenty of reasons to fight to the end.
davidpdx
(22,000 posts)But I don't think 61.25% is going to be enough. He needs to win with closer to 70% to turn this around. This IS his last hurrah (along with the other states). He can go to the convention with less pledged delegates than her, but he has to stop her from going over the number of delegates needed with only the pledged ones.
California is my birth state (don't tell anyone I admitted that ok?) so I'm rooting for a big win there.
Response to davidpdx (Reply #24)
Post removed
riderinthestorm
(23,272 posts)Please consider deleting. He's pointing out a fact and one we should keep in mind imo.
Bernie may not get the number he needs to overtake Clinton but it would be good if he prevents her from getting the magic number too. It makes the convention so much more important.
davidpdx
(22,000 posts)I've been here since 2008 and have almost 22,000 posts. Some people are just fucking loony.
Jester Messiah
(4,711 posts)Duckfan
(1,268 posts)Best I can do at moment is $15. After first, a little more.
Joob
(1,065 posts)(disclaimer: all this math is if Bernie has 1499 pledged delegates and Clinton has 1771 pledged delegates)
(also: I get different percentages, but all that matters is how much pledged delegates he wins)
Bernie would need 128.5remaining pledged delegates after the win
Hillary would need 177.5 remaining pledged delegates after the lost
He'd be in the lead of pledged delegates!!
Regardless, after counting Cali, 306 pledged delegates would remain.
Bernie would need 41.99346405228758% of remaining pledged delegates
Hillary would need 58.00653594771242% of remaining pledged delegates
NOW. let me see if I can get that number.. 398 delegates...
For me.. when i do the math 398 of 475 is 83.78947368421053% of 475
not 61.25%.For that, I get 290.9375 pledged delegates, round to 291 Then.. let's see.
After adding everything...
Bernie would need 235.5 pledged delegates
Hillary would need 15 more pledged delegates.
(this would be if Bernie only wins 291 pledged delegates)
He would need 76.96078431372549% of remaining pledged delegates after winning
She would need 4.90196078431373% of remaining pledged delegates after losing.
So he definitely can't let her win that much delegates.
At the end of the day. After all the math. Bernie has a 272 pledged delegate gap. Right?
He would need a 388.5 pledged delegate win. To tie it up!
(And I get 81.78947368421053% win of Cali with that!)
If any of my math is wrong please explain where I went wrong Also, I'm not sure how they split their delegates so that's probably why the percentages I'm getting is different.)