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Bernie Sanders
Related: About this forumCare 2: How Bernie Sanders Will Win the Democratic Nomination
http://www.care2.com/causes/how-bernie-sanders-will-win-the-democratic-nomination.html
By: Robin MartyDecember 30, 2015
To a large portion of the political punditry, the 2016 Democratic nomination was settled the moment that former Secretary of State, former New York Senator and former First Lady Hillary Clinton began hinting that she was preparing for a presidential run. When Vermont Senator and self-proclaimed socialist Bernie Sanders announced his entry, he was at worst seen as a distraction and at best seen as a tool merely for giving Clinton a nudge further to the left, to remind her that the progressives in the party want a champion, not another moderate, as their candidate.
However, the path to Sanders pulling off one of the biggest political upsets ever has always been an uphill one, full of twists and roadblocks. Now, however, what looked like an impossibility could actually be a scenario that Sanders and his team may pull off.
On a national level, little has changed in the battle of Clinton versus Sanders. A Monmouth University poll released on December 16 shows Clinton trouncing Sanders by 33 points, no change since the last poll, conducted in October. She has the support of nearly 60 percent of the respondents, a nearly two to one lead. Still, thats a national poll, and the nomination is won state by state. For Clinton, that means the first two contests Iowa and New Hampshire, could change the momentum for her campaign completely depending on their results.
Iowa, at this point, is still primarily Clintons to lose. As of mid-December, she is leading by 11 points according to Public Policy Polling, and has a massive advantage with women voters. If Sanders can find a way to address this gender gap, he could manage to navigate into a position to win Iowa and surprise everyone. Because Iowa is a caucus state rather than a primary, and does not select candidates by popular vote, a strong ground game at the caucuses and positioning the right people into each location to help organize the delegate electing will have far more impact on the final result than any campaign spending prior to the contest itself.
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Care 2: How Bernie Sanders Will Win the Democratic Nomination (Original Post)
Omaha Steve
Dec 2015
OP
I wonder how many women supporting Clinton are single issue voters based on gender?
TryLogic
Dec 2015
#1
TryLogic
(1,723 posts)1. I wonder how many women supporting Clinton are single issue voters based on gender?
I wonder if they realize that is what they are?
Dr Hobbitstein
(6,568 posts)3. Sexism, much? nt
Ino
(3,366 posts)4. The one female Clinton supporter I know...
is voting for her only because Clinton is female.
And yes, she is a sexist. And racist to boot.
bloom
(11,635 posts)6. Afaic Clinton is our only logical option
I am well aware that she is more to the right of myself and Bernie. I am also well aware that there is no way in hell that Bernie could win the general. If such a miracle were to magically occur - he would probably be shot by some wacko anti-socialist.
HRC could suffer from a similar fate - what with all the anti-Hillary demonization over the years. But she is someone 'the establishment' could live with.
I think she is a lot smarter that BS people would admit. So are her supporters.
eridani
(51,907 posts)7. Sanders has far broader appeal in the general than Clinton
The majority of the voters are independents.
daleanime
(17,796 posts)2. K&R.....
Stardust
(3,894 posts)5. Thanks, Steve--that's encouraging. Made my final donation for the year today. Go Bernie! n/t.