Member since: Fri Dec 19, 2003, 01:20 AM
Number of posts: 22,842
Number of posts: 22,842
Ontario to indefinitely defer new Darlington nuclear reactors: energy plan
Washington (Platts)--3Dec2013/729 am EST/1229 GMT
Ontario will indefinitely defer construction of two new nuclear power reactors at Ontario Power Generation's Darlington site; back away from firm plans to refurbish operating units at Darlington and Bruce Power's Bruce A site; and may order the shutdown of OPG's six-unit Pickering plant prior to the units' scheduled 2020 closing date, the provincial government said in a long-term energy plan issued late Monday.
The province, which owns OPG, said that advances in energy conservation, enhanced efficiency and a slowdown in electricity demand growth have prompted it to revise a 2010 long-term energy plan that called for building two new reactors at Darlington, as well as refurbishment of 10 units combined at that station and at Bruce A.
In late June, Candu Energy and Westinghouse submitted competing bids to OPG to build two reactors at Darlington, a year after the utility requested these companies bid on the project.
"This represents up to $15 billion in capital investments that are not currently required," the plan said...
Posted by kristopher | Wed Dec 4, 2013, 04:45 AM (0 replies)
But that's your MO: pretend that all will be fine with the world, just as soon as we get cheap solar up and running. Ignore the centuries of ecological and economic destruction we've left in our wake, and the inertia it carries behind it. But that makes sense considering your worldview: we can't get solar panels as cheaply as your predictions suggest unless we continue with a more and more globalized, consumption-based economy that was itself the root cause of the crisis we find ourselves in today. The wonderfully cheap solar panels we see today have only been made possible due to the shit conditions present in places like China.
"But that's your MO: pretend that all will be fine with the world, just as soon as we get cheap solar up and running."
Never said or implied any such thing. I've said we are in a race against time and we haven't the time or resources to be screwing around placating the right wing love of centralized power. Renewables are the fastest, safest, most sustainable and least expensive way to get away from carbon.
And you are one of those who blindly tries to slam renewables at every opportunity in order to help promote nuclear.
Ignore the centuries of ecological and economic destruction we've left in our wake, and the inertia it carries behind it. ... we continue with a more and more globalized, consumption-based economy that was itself the root cause of the crisis we find ourselves in today.
Again, that is a part of the social structure built on centralized thermal energy that nuclear is a part of. Renewable energy in a distributed system is a strong tool to change the nature of our culture since it destroys the power base created by our present centralized fossil/nuclear system. If your political view and goals were actually as you state, you would not be acting as you are unless you had spent the past 30 years in a closet.
The wonderfully cheap solar panels we see today have only been made possible due to the shit conditions present in places like China.
Another false right wing meme trying to use China as a wedge.
Cheaper Chinese Solar Panels Are Not Due to Low-Cost Labor
Sep. 5, 2013 — A study of the photovoltaic industries in the US and China shows that China's dominance in solar panel manufacturing is not driven solely by cheaper labour and government support, but by larger-scale manufacturing and resulting supply-chain benefits.
But the researchers say a balance could be achieved through future innovations in crystalline solar cell technology, which have the potential to equalise prices by enhancing access to materials and expanding manufacturing scale across all regions.
The study is published today in the Royal Society of Chemistry journal Energy & Environmental Science.
Researchers at the US Department of Energy's National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) and Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) developed a bottom-up cost model to examine the underlying causes for the shift in the global manufacturing base of photovoltaics from the US and Europe to China.
To carry out their economic analysis,
In short, it is clear your skepticism is based on many faulty beliefs.
Posted by kristopher | Tue Dec 3, 2013, 09:09 PM (0 replies)
Fifty Fifty: A Simple Observation on the Price of Oil and Solar
Oct 09 2013
Published by Karl-Friedrich Lenz under Energy from the desert
About a week ago I blogged about a new report on the cost Germany has to pay for fossil fuel commissioned by the German Green party and written by Steffen Bukold. I noted that all renewable energy is domestic energy. Getting the transition to renewable energy done faster will save Germany trillions of dollars in costs for fossil fuel imports.
But here is another interesting fact I learned from that study. At page 17 the study tells us that in 1972 one barrel of oil cost $2 in average. In contrast, in 2012 that number had gone to over $100. Oil prices increased by a factor of 50 in only forty years.
And from the Wikipedia page on solar cells we can see that the cost of solar was $100 a watt in 1972. So if the cost of solar was $2 per watt now, solar would have gone down by a factor of fifty in the same time oil went up by a factor of fifty. That would be nice for the exact symmetry achieved. It also would make my headline correct.
However, in the real world things don’t play out quite that way. Actually solar is now at around $0.46 per watt, and it was around 0.50 in 2012. So that’s a decrease by a factor of 200 in forty years.
That of course means that the relation between prices of oil and solar has changed by a factor of 10,000 in those last forty years.
And there is no end in sight. Solar will get cheaper. And oil will get more expensive, as the low hanging fruit oil fields become depleted and new energy demand from China and India kicks in.
I found the information about this blogger and the development of his beliefs to be interesting.
I started this blog in January 2003 and migrated it to WordPress in September 2006.
The first eight years I was mainly interested in intellectual property law, especially copyright.
However the Fukushima nuclear accident got me stronger involved in energy and global meltdown issues. I had some interest in the DESERTEC energy from the desert vision earlier, but plan now to put this at the center of my activity here and elsewhere for a couple of years. My interest is especially in bringing the concept to Asia, and there I am concentrated on the Gobi desert in Mongolia.
I had the illusion for a couple of months that advocacy for renewable energy could coexist with advocacy for nuclear as another low carbon option. However, I have given up pro-nuclear advocacy on this blog on December 8, 2011. The strongest reason pushing me to that decision is the intolerable opposition to renewable energy of most of the pro-nuclear bloggers. That is a basic blunder in messaging that assures my fierce opposition to what I call “Fossil Nukes“.
My position now is that I don’t need to decide on nuclear power. It doesn’t matter either way.
My name is Karl-Friedrich Lenz; I am a German national and a professor of German Law, European Law and International Trade Law at Aoyama Gakuin University in Tokyo since 1995. All opinions on this blog are my own and are in no way to be understood as endorsed by Aoyama Gakuin University.
Mr Lenz makes his writing available under the Creative Commons license.
Posted by kristopher | Tue Dec 3, 2013, 05:43 PM (0 replies)
US' Biggest Landfill To Become New York City's Biggest Solar Project
New Hampshire, USA -- What was once the largest landfill on the planet is being partly reinvented, and solar energy will be playing a big role in that.
New York City will convert roughly 47 acres of land at the Freshkills Park on Staten Island into a 10-MW solar installation, five times bigger than any other system in the city and boosting the city's renewable energy by 50 percent, according to officials. SunEdison, which won the public bidding process, will lease the land to design, build, and operate the facility, with construction reportedly beginning in late 2015 and online within a year.
Freshkills opened more than half a century ago and quickly became the largest landfill in the world; at its peak in the 1980s it took in tens of thousands of garbage per day as the city's primary solid waste landfill, with four landfill mounds amounting to 150 million tons of solid waste. At one point it was the largest man-made structure, taller than the Statue of Liberty and reportedly visible from space. It was officially closed in 2001, though it was brought back to temporary service to help sort through Sept. 11 material. A landfill gas recovery operation has been in place since then.
In the mid-2000s the city crafted a new initiative, PlaNYC, under which two dozen city agencies began undertaking work to make the city greener...
Posted by kristopher | Tue Dec 3, 2013, 05:00 PM (6 replies)
Solar at 2c/kWh? Not a matter of if, but when – and by whom
By Giles Parkinson on 29 November 2013
...the challenge is more about financing manufacturing facilities at that scale, rather than the emergence of any particular technology. He says the industry is destined for higher efficiencies and lower production costs, and higher degrees of automation as a matter of course.
...The challenge, he says, is to install modern equipment at the scale needed to ensure that solar manufacturing companies are profitable at module prices below 50c/Watt. “I like to call this savings at scale, the X gigawatt factory,” Weber said. “That X could be any number, from 1GW to 5GW, or more, but let’s start at 1GW.
“You need to have a certain vision right now, because the industry is not making a lot of money. The 40GW market will soon become a 100GW market, and then a 300GW market.
“If, in 2050, when solar electricity might cost us 2c-3c/kWh, when it is the least expensive way of electricity, it would need total installed capacity of 10,000GW of solar PV to meet just 10 per cent of the world’s demand. Today we have just 100GW.
“We need to get to annual production of 300GW very soon....
Posted by kristopher | Tue Dec 3, 2013, 12:17 PM (10 replies)
New Electric Vehicle Battery Can Help Power Buildings, Too
BY KILEY KROH ON DECEMBER 3, 2013 AT 9:15 AM
Nissan is taking its electric vehicle to the next level, pioneering a new system that will enable companies to regulate their electricity bills by tapping into the electric vehicles their employees are driving to work.
The “Vehicle-To-Building” technology allows up to six Nissan Leafs to be connected to an office building’s power distribution board, the Daily Fusion reported. At peak hours, when energy demand is at its highest and electricity is most expensive, the building draws power from the cars. When demand slows and electricity is cheaper, it flows the other way. No matter how much electricity they provide, the system ensures the Nissan Leafs are fully charged by the end of the day for their owners to drive home.
...Nissan has conducted a successful field test of the Vehicle-To-Building system and has been using it at the company’s Advanced Technology Center in Atsugi City, Japan since July. According to the Daily Fusion, “the facility benefited from a reduction of 25.6 kW during peak summer periods by controlling the charging time of the electric cars, with no impact on the workers’ daily commute.”
And the results have been significant. The facility achieved a “2.5 percent reduction of electrical power use during peak hours, a saving of nearly 500,000 Yen (approx. $4,900) per year in electrical power cost (based on current Tokyo Electric Power Company’s rates).”...
Posted by kristopher | Tue Dec 3, 2013, 11:33 AM (1 replies)
20% is at most a rough limit with no grid upgrades and no storage
The credentials required are English language comprehension
Specifically which laws of physics are being violated?
Posted by kristopher | Tue Dec 3, 2013, 11:20 AM (1 replies)
Independent Scotland would phase out nuclear power
2 December 2013
New nuclear would not play a role in an independent Scotland, according to a white paper published by the Scottish government in November.
The current Scottish government is opposed to the building of any new nuclear power stations in Scotland and will phase out existing stations in Scotland over time, it said.
Scotland has four AGR reactors in operation at the Huntersont B and Torness sites, which are due to close in 2023. However, EDF Energy plans to extend the lifetime of the fleet for as long as it remains safe and cost effective to do so.
In an independent Scotland the decommissioning costs of Scotland's three non-operational sites (Dounreay, Hunterston A and Chapelcross) would continue to be met from the public purse. EDF Energy would meet the cost of decommissioning Hunterston B and Torness. Costs relating to nuclear decommissioning outside of Scotland would be for the government of the rest of UK to meet.
The Scottish Government said ...
Posted by kristopher | Tue Dec 3, 2013, 10:54 AM (8 replies)
Balancing wind with multiple renewable resources—including solar, which does not normally peak when wind does, and baseload power from geothermal and biomass—could mitigate the temporal variability in generation. Reaching the goal of 20 percent nonhydropower renewables by 2035 could be achieved by adding 9.5 GW per year of wind power and a total of 70 GW of solar PV and 13 GW each of geothermal and biomass. Using multiple renewable resources to reach this level would take advantage of the geographical variability in the resource base.
Electricity from Renewable Resources: Status, Prospects, and Impediments http://www.nap.edu/download.php?record_id=12619
"Reaching the goal of 20 percent nonhydropower renewables by 2035 could be achieved by adding 9.5 GW per year of wind power and a total of 70 GW of solar PV and 13 GW each of geothermal and biomass."
We now have more than 10GW of solar capacity in the US, so most of this boom will be added to that within another 2 years. That puts us around 70% of the way to the 2035 solar level mentioned by NAS 20 years earlier than they hypothesized.
We have 60GW of wind capacity installed, but the performance of the wind industry is still a problem in that it is responsive to the existence of the Production Tax Credit, which the Republican House is sure to allow to expire at the end of this year. Every indication is that wind could deliver the 9.5GW of capacity easily if the Republicans in the House would stop screwing with the them and passed a stable policy that developers could count on when planning.
(How many times have you heard them attack the ACA by saying stable government policies are required for business growth? They aren't screwing with the PTC by accident.)
Posted by kristopher | Tue Dec 3, 2013, 10:47 AM (1 replies)
Electric Vehicles: Mobile Agents of the Grid Edge
Electric vehicles will serve a much larger purpose than just transportation.
November 29, 2013
Electric vehicles are the mobile agent of the grid edge. The interest in decoupling transportation from fossil fuel consumption is primarily driven by environmental and economic motives, but grid-edge considerations focus on the system benefits of a large EV fleet. Instead of creating additional peaks by simultaneous charging of large numbers of vehicles, electric cars could make use of excess wind power at night, serve as mobile storage devices, and create new revenue streams for car owners. The EV market segment includes plug-in hybrid and electric-only EVs, vehicle-to-grid technologies, and smart charging solutions.
Deployment and Growth Projections
Plug-in electric vehicles sold twice as well in the first half of 2013 than they did in 2012, according to the DOE. This rate of growth in the market appears to be much faster than in the early phase of hybrid vehicles. Many industry observers point to this as a harbinger of massive success to come. However, even if the share of EVs relative to total car sales is increasing rapidly, it is still small, as the following chart illustrates. The market is bound to reach a turning point in the coming decade. Polk Research found that the U.S. car fleet hit a new record age of 11.4 years in 2013, up 16 percent from 2002. During the same period of time, fuel efficiencies have risen from a miles-per-gallon perspective, so the gap between old models and newer models with better fuel economy could spur increased demand in the short term. The Rocky Mountain Institute predicts that 50 percent of all U.S. vehicles will be electrified by 2050.
Trends, Thought Leaders, Vendors, Ideas
The EV market mirrors many challenges of the grid edge at a smaller scale. Factors to consider include:
Standardization: Standardization is a major stepping stone on the pathway to a plug-and-play environment of charging stations. The importance of standards is not limited to charging stations: if electric vehicles are to be part of a dynamic grid infrastructure, standardized communication protocols are just as important as OpenADR for demand response, in terms of creating a single language with which EVs and energy service providers can communicate.
U.S. efforts around V2G remain rare, but they do exist....
Posted by kristopher | Tue Dec 3, 2013, 10:10 AM (3 replies)