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kpete

kpete's Journal
kpete's Journal
July 23, 2014

Booman Tribune: Here's what the final collapse of the Republicans will look like.

When the End Comes, It Will Be Sudden
by BooMan
Mon Jul 21st, 2014 at 01:01:14 PM EST

........................

I have a theory that when the Republican Party finally collapses as a national party it will happen suddenly and without much warning. It could happen as early as this November, although I am not ready to make that prediction just yet. If it does happen this year, though, this is what it will look like. Incumbent Republican governors will lose across the board, from Florida to Maine to Pennsylvania to Michigan to Ohio to Wisconsin. At the same time, the GOP will fail to pick up more than one or two Senate seats, failing to win seats even in Deep South states like Georgia, Arkansas, and Louisiana. And they'll lose control of the House by surrendering seats that are designed to be invulnerable. The popular vote will run heavily against them and the damage will only be mitigated by the way the maps have been drawn and the tendency of liberals to cluster together in urban areas.

Then, the party will fail to coalesce around a candidate who is willing to make terms with where the country actually is on women's issues, immigration, education, climate, or gay rights, leading them to nominate someone as far outside of the mainstream as the party faithful. Think Ted Cruz, Rick Santorum, Rand Paul, or even Paul Ryan.

This would probably lead to the kind of Electoral College defeat experienced by Walter Mondale or George McGovern, with numerous "red states" crossing over to vote for sanity. And, at this point, the GOP would be reduced back down to where they were in the mid to early sixties. To come back, they'd need the left to fracture in 1968 fashion.

This is where we're headed. It could come as soon as November, although it could also be delayed into the latter half of the twenties. A lot will depend on economic and international conditions on each coming election day, and the GOP has a lot of artificial advantages plus a willingness to engage in various forms of suppression and chicanery. But the game is nonetheless up. The best movement conservatism can hope for at this point is a flash in the pan confluence of bad news timed at just the right moment to give them the unlikeliest of national victories. This country has totally moved on from their ideology.

http://www.boomantribune.com/story/2014/7/21/13114/9312

July 23, 2014

"I need birth control. Why Do You?"

Lena Dunham Asks Why People Use Birth Control, World Learns Critical Lesson

comments make sense too!!!


? @lenadunham
I need birth control because I have endometriosis and it helps manage pain. Why do you?
LaceyTerri DawsonHarri WettsteinChris SandersEmGEEIzabela Gama♪ Lupi ⚾Esther Flynn-Purvis TheRaz2007
6:07 PM - 22 Jul 2014

https://twitter.com/lenadunham/status/491751314078965760

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/07/22/lena-dunham-birth-control_n_5611748.html
July 23, 2014

US Border Patrol Pull LOADED Guns & Detain Boy Scout Troop For Taking A Picture

..............................................

Fox said one of the Scouts took a picture of a border official, which spurred agents to detain everyone in that van and search them and their belongings.

“The agent immediately confiscated his camera, informed him he would be arrested, fined possibly $10,000 and 10 years in prison,” Fox said.

.................

Another of the Scouts was taking luggage from the top of a van to be searched when something startling happened.

“He hears a snap of a holster, turns around, and here’s this agent, both hands on a loaded pistol, pointing at the young man’s head,” Fox explained.



MORE:
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2014/07/23/1316003/-US-Border-Patrol-Pull-Guns-Detain-Boy-Scout-Troop-For-Photography
Read more: http://www.kcci.com/news/boy-scout-from-iowa-is-subject-of-alaska-border-dispute/27102496#ixzz38IXRECrw
VIDEO & MORE:
http://www.kcci.com/news/officer-points-gun-at-boy-scout-at-canadian-border/27078396#!bksUX5

July 23, 2014

Cuomo’s Office Hobbled State Ethics Inquiries

Source: New York Times

With Albany rocked by a seemingly endless barrage of scandals and arrests, Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo set up a high-powered commission last summer to root out corruption in state politics. It was barely two months old when its investigators, hunting for violations of campaign-finance laws, issued a subpoena to a media-buying firm that had placed millions of dollars’ worth of advertisements for the New York State Democratic Party.

The investigators did not realize that the firm, Buying Time, also counted Mr. Cuomo among its clients, having bought the airtime for his campaign when he ran for governor in 2010.

Word that the subpoena had been served quickly reached Mr. Cuomo’s most senior aide, Lawrence S. Schwartz. He called one of the commission’s three co-chairs, William J. Fitzpatrick, the district attorney in Syracuse.

“This is wrong,” Mr. Schwartz said, according to Mr. Fitzpatrick, whose account was corroborated by three other people told about the call at the time. He said the firm worked for the governor, and issued a simple directive:

“Pull it back.”

Read more: http://www.nytimes.com/2014/07/23/nyregion/governor-andrew-cuomo-and-the-short-life-of-the-moreland-commission.html?&hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&version=LedeSum&module=first-column-region%C2%AEion=top-news&WT.nav=top-news&_r=1

July 23, 2014

"I wasn't speeding, I was qualifying."


"I wasn't speeding, I was qualifying."

-- Sarah Palin, quoted by TMZ, after being caught speeding while blaming Sammy Hagar's, "I Can't Drive 55" which was playing on the oldies station she was listening to.



http://www.tmz.com/2014/07/22/sarah-palin-speeding-ticket-wasilla-alaska/
July 23, 2014

It's no secret that Democrats have a turnout problem. It's bad.

When conservatives don't get what they want, they tend to double down at the ballot box. When progressives don't get what they want, many of us tend to storm away and fantasize about engaging the system outside of electoral politics somehow. This is part of why conservatives have been successful in moving the country to right



The study, from the Center for the Study of the American Electorate, shows turnout in the 25 states that have held statewide primaries for both parties is down by nearly one-fifth from the last midterm, in 2010. While 18.3 percent of eligible voters cast ballots back then, it has been just 14.8 percent so far this year. Similarly, 15 of the 25 states that have held statewide primaries so far have recorded record-low turnout.

Ouch.

This is all the more depressing when you realize that, less than 50 years ago, primary turnout was twice as high.

................................

What's perhaps most notable, though, is the partisan difference. Republican primary turnout overtook Democratic turnout for the first time in 2010, and that difference is even bigger this primary season.


From:
Americans hate Congress. They will totally teach it a lesson by not voting.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2014/07/21/americans-hate-congress-they-will-totally-teach-it-a-lesson-by-not-voting/?tid=rssfeed
via:
http://digbysblog.blogspot.com/2014/07/turnout-problems-by-davidoatkins.html
July 22, 2014

USA! Keeping kids in kennels

?1405990953
Two refugee girls sleep in a holding cell, as the children are separated by age group and gender, as hundreds of mostly Central American immigrant children are processed and held at the U.S. Customs and Border Protection.

Fucking animals -- the border enforcement people, literally putting kids in kennels, conservatives foaming at the mouth at the presence of desperate children, and the Obama Administration, trying to make it easier to deport these kids.

Just think how desperate you have to be to send your children off on this dangerous journey north -- it's a Sophie's Choice between near-guaranteed death at home at the hand of criminal gangs or drug cartels, or some chance of survival in the United States (or Costa Rica or Panama, which are also facing a refugee influx). These kids aren't looking for better economic opportunities or a better life, they are looking for life itself.

And then, after their harrowing journey north, they get placed in kennels.

Update: TexMex in the comments links to the Amazon wish-list from the Texas Young Democrats, who are sending basic supplies to these refugee children. I've just bought $100 worth of stuff.
http://www.amazon.com/gp/registry/wishlist/38SPBUV1P3Y16/ref=cm_wl_rlist_go_o?page=1&filter=all&layout=standard&sort=date-added&reveal=unpurchased&id=38SPBUV1P3Y16&type=wishlist&itemPerPage=24



MORE:
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2014/07/22/1315753/-Keeping-kids-in-kennels
July 22, 2014

Government agents 'directly involved' in "NEARLY-ALL" high-profile US terror plots

Government agents 'directly involved' in most high-profile US terror plots
• Human Rights Watch documents 'sting' operations
• Report raises questions about post-9/11 civil rights

Nearly all of the highest-profile domestic terrorism plots in the United States since 9/11 featured the "direct involvement" of government agents or informants, a new report says

............................




"In some cases the FBI may have created terrorists out of law-abiding individuals by suggesting the idea of taking terrorist action or encouraging the target to act," the report alleges.

Out of the 494 cases related to terrorism the US has tried since 9/11, the plurality of convictions – 18% overall – are not for thwarted plots but for "material support" charges, a broad category expanded further by the 2001 Patriot Act that permits prosecutors to pursue charges with tenuous connections to a terrorist act or group.

In one such incident, the initial basis for a material-support case alleging a man provided "military gear" to al-Qaida turned out to be waterproof socks in his luggage.

Several cases featured years-long solitary confinement for accused terrorists before their trials. Some defendants displayed signs of mental incapacity. Jurors for the 2007 plot to attack the Fort Dix army base, itself influenced by government informants, were anonymous, limiting defense counsel's ability to screen out bias.



the disgusting rest:
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/jul/21/government-agents-directly-involved-us-terror-plots-report
July 22, 2014

Goodbye to the Republican Wave?


Still No Signs of a GOP Wave

Nate Cohn: "This year seemed poised to turn into another so-called wave election, like in 2006 or 2010, when a rising tide of dissatisfaction with the incumbent party swept the opposition into power. Given a favorable midterm map, with so many Democratic Senate seats in play, some analysts suggested that Republicans could win a dozen of them, perhaps even picking up seats in states like Virginia, New Hampshire and Oregon."

"The anti-Democratic wave might still arrive. But with three and a half months to go until November's elections, the promised Republican momentum has yet to materialize."


http://www.nytimes.com/2014/07/22/upshot/goodbye-to-the-republican-wave.html?ref=politics&_r=0
http://politicalwire.com/archives/2014/07/22/still_no_signs_of_a_gop_wave.html

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