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LetMyPeopleVote

(146,489 posts)
35. DJT is a meme stock that relies on the greater fool/idiot theory
Tue Mar 26, 2024, 07:28 PM
Mar 26

Meme stocks rely on the greater fool theory. I was amused to see that DWAC/Trump Media is classified as a meme stock where the value is due to personality and not due to the real value of issuer of the meme stock. This article is a good discussion of the meme nature of DWAC/TMT.
https://www.vanityfair.com/news/donald-trump-truth-social-media-merger

Trump’s financial future now hinges on some of the strangest fads in corporate finance—meme stocks, SPAC deals, and cult-of-personality investing. If Trump can find a way to act fast, it might just be the bailout he desperately needs.

Truth Social is a bad imitation of Twitter, where Trump was an unavoidable presence long before he ran for president. It’s chock full of stale red-pilled memes, MAGA conspiracy theories, and of course, Trump. That’s the main draw. Truth Social is the only place the former president now regularly posts his unfettered thoughts......

DWAC is best thought of as a meme stock. You may remember the meme stock fad from when retail investors on Reddit successfully coordinated a short squeeze with GameStop stock, before glomming onto a series of other millennial nostalgia brands like AMC Entertainment, BlackBerry, and Bed Bath & Beyond. Meme stocks are often publicly traded companies that attract an inordinate percentage of individual investors and their stock performance fluctuates in a way that’s significantly divorced from the reality of their underlying business. Combine those two trends and you’ll start to see why Trump’s media company could be valued at roughly $9 billion if it merges with DWAC.

Jay Ritter, a finance professor at the University of Florida, says meme stocks often depend on the “greater fool theory of investing,” meaning rational investors might buy in expecting the stock price to rise and betting that they can sell their shares to a greater fool willing to buy them at a higher price. In this case, however, Ritter speculates there is an inordinate number of individual retail investors compared to institutional investors, such as hedge funds, that normally own SPAC shares prior to a merger. “Here you’ve got ideology involved [too]—as far as I can tell, the vast majority of DWAC investors are Trump political investors, and they’re to some degree putting their money where their mouth is… My suspicion is most of them have bought the stock as a show of political support.” In this way, Trump is conducting yet another public fundraising from his supporters—this time through the public markets.

Idiots who purchase meme stocks are betting that they can get out before the other idiots figure out that the stock is worthless
The value obviously goes way down Johonny Mar 26 #1
Like the presidency & his constituents RevBrotherThomas Mar 26 #15
Not necessarily. CincyDem Mar 26 #17
Its up big today so far Johonny Mar 26 #24
oh yeah - on that we agree. CincyDem Mar 26 #25
You made a good argument why Trump "may not" get 3 billion, gab13by13 Mar 26 #2
True. But the use of the SPAC is done specifically so the SEC WON'T be keeping an eye on it. Scrivener7 Mar 26 #3
Yes edhopper Mar 26 #6
Not till the merger goes through, and not till he has enough collateral on paper that Deutsch Bank or Scrivener7 Mar 26 #7
The merger already went through. TwilightZone Mar 26 #9
The collateral is his stake in the stock on paper. Which is now at $73 per share. Scrivener7 Mar 26 #11
also d45 could ask et tu Mar 26 #16
With the way his board is MAGA stuffed... CincyDem Mar 26 #26
A president in debt to foreign entities, you say? Diamond_Dog Mar 26 #4
The Securities Exchange Commission(SEC) does not mess around. ProudMNDemocrat Mar 26 #5
The price is inflated, it is losing money, gab13by13 Mar 26 #10
They're not going to shut it down just because the valuation is high. TwilightZone Mar 26 #13
If he's able to walk off into the sunset with 3 billion dollars ecstatic Mar 26 #8
Smart investors aren't going to invest in DJT, gab13by13 Mar 26 #12
don't be so sure buying a share could be viewed as a patriotic gesture dembotoz Mar 26 #23
The price this morning is $73. If that holds, he'll get a lot more than $3 billion. Scrivener7 Mar 26 #14
How ridiculous. Just goes to show how great is to have my retirement dependent on a market of nonsense. SouthernDem4ever Mar 26 #21
So how does that work? dumbcat Mar 26 #29
In Feb, when the stock worth was estimated at $48, the estimate of the value of his personal stake was $3.8 billion. Scrivener7 Mar 26 #30
I got the market cap from dumbcat Mar 26 #33
If it were $10,000 it would be over-priced. SouthernDem4ever Mar 26 #36
So I wonder which is correct. Morningstar and Marketwatch are both decent sources. Scrivener7 Mar 26 #37
Wu Han ??!! DoBW Mar 26 #18
Thanks for this post that clearly breaks down the truth social stock situation. n/t iluvtennis Mar 26 #19
Does it really? gab13by13 Mar 26 #28
Yes, it does for me. It says there is no immediate $3 Billion windfall for trump. He has to wait 6 months iluvtennis Mar 26 #32
Gee-Whiz... czarjak Mar 26 #20
Like Mark Cuban said the other day... WarGamer Mar 26 #22
Trumpers will say it's made up Democratic propaganda that he's in debt to foreign leaders BlueKota Mar 26 #27
Can you say "pump and dump"? I knew that you could ... Straw Man Mar 26 #31
It's just another NFT Emrys Mar 26 #34
DJT is a meme stock that relies on the greater fool/idiot theory LetMyPeopleVote Mar 26 #35
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