2016 Postmortem

DCBob

(24,689 posts) Fri Jan 1, 2016, 11:34 AM Jan 2016

Claims about Bernie following same trend as Obama in 2008 are now clearly bunk. [View all]

One month prior (Dec 1) to the Iowa caucus in 2008 (which was Jan 3) Obama was tied 27-27 with Clinton and moving up in the RCP average of polls. Currently, also about 1 month prior to the Iowa caucus, Clinton is leading Sanders 50-38 in the same RCP average of polls.

2008:

Current:

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Claims about Bernie following same trend as Obama in 2008 are now clearly bunk. [View all] DCBob Jan 2016 OP

They always were bunk workinclasszero Jan 2016 #1

That was my first thought.. second and third! Cha Jan 2016 #23

Happy new year to you Cha! workinclasszero Jan 2016 #24

Cha was just thinking same. Yes always bunk and wishful thinking FloridaBlues Jan 2016 #29

.. Cha Jan 2016 #40

Agree. riversedge Jan 2016 #41

Comparisons to 2008 were more about desperate hope than anything else. eom MohRokTah Jan 2016 #2

Yeah okay sure....Good luck with that in the General, and pray for a Trump nomination Armstead Jan 2016 #3

The last place I would seek information about upaloopa Jan 2016 #6

The last person you would ask for the time of day is a Sanders supporter Armstead Jan 2016 #9

I am not impressed upaloopa Jan 2016 #18

Didn't expect you to be Armstead Jan 2016 #32

As of today, and that is all I am speaking to, I am comfortable where Cinton sits in GE. seabeyond Jan 2016 #21

They always were bunk... NCTraveler Jan 2016 #4

A cheap shot at Obama? HAHA! That's the most ridiculous statement I have seen all week. n/t JonLeibowitz Jan 2016 #5

Glad you are having a solid week!!! NCTraveler Jan 2016 #8

They were never accurate cali Jan 2016 #7

Hate to say this, but I agree. concreteblue Jan 2016 #10

keep hopng........,LOL bowens43 Jan 2016 #11

A $100.00 donation to DU says HRC will be the Democratic nominee DemocratSinceBirth Jan 2016 #16

No need to be hoping.. the OP laid out the facts. Cha Jan 2016 #25

Good luck. SoapBox Jan 2016 #12

This message was self-deleted by its author DemocratSinceBirth Jan 2016 #13

How About the Gallup Poll 2 Weeks Before Iowa Caucus 2007? gordyfl Jan 2016 #14

That's a nat'l poll. The seminal poster cited IA polls./nt DemocratSinceBirth Jan 2016 #15

No one poll rjsquirrel Jan 2016 #31

I agree, Gender Will Emerge as Main Issue, Should Hillary Win gordyfl Jan 2016 #38

A salute to Post#31 for 100% correctness. oasis Jan 2016 #39

This is an agrigation of many polls. The problem is the same with most of the Hillary is ahead" Ferd Berfel Jan 2016 #17

Exactly, polls appear to be devised to give a certain desired result by choosing a demographic peacebird Jan 2016 #26

they are polling Iowa dsc Jan 2016 #36

You'll see the same thing in the "natonal' polls. Ferd Berfel Jan 2016 #37

Decieving polls I tell you just look at this crosspost. ViseGrip Jan 2016 #19

The millenials and those who were turned off by politics previously will give Bernie victory peacebird Jan 2016 #27

Definately NOT 2008. Clinton's lead is comfortably outside the MoE. K & R nt Persondem Jan 2016 #20

How could he? Flying Squirrel Jan 2016 #22

Sanders is no Barack Obama Gothmog Jan 2016 #28

He certainly isn't. NurseJackie Jan 2016 #30

+ a million or so . eom BlueMTexpat Jan 2016 #33

Moving on from Iowa, things currently BlueMTexpat Jan 2016 #34

Looks like Super Tuesday will be a very good day for the Hillary team. DCBob Jan 2016 #35