New Quinnipiac polls: Presidential race tight in battleground states

[DeepModem Mom]

CNN: August 26, 2008
Presidential race tight in battleground states
From CNN Deputy Political Director Paul Steinhauser

DENVER (CNN) — The race for the White House is as close in some of the key battleground states as it is nationally. Quinnipiac University polls out today in Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania are an indicator of just how tight the battle stands right now between John McCain and Barack Obama.

The survey suggests that the Arizona senator has a four point lead, 47 to 43 percent, over Obama in Florida. Last month Obama had a two point lead in the state that decided it all back in the 2000 election.

In Ohio, the Quinnipiac University poll puts Obama up by one point, 44 to 43 percent, over McCain, down from a two point lead in their last survey. That’s a statistical dead heat.

The Illinois senator has a 49 to 42 percent advantage in Pennsylvania. That seven point lead is unchanged from last month.

The surveys in the three states, which have a combined 68 electoral votes, were conducted from August 17 to 24, which was partially before and after Obama’s naming of Delaware Senator Joe Biden as his running mate....

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/08/26/race-tight-up-in-battleground-states/#more-14391

[speedoo]

1. Not bad. McSame probably needs all three, but PA appears to be almost out of reach. nt

[DeepModem Mom]

2. I'm thinking Pa. not so tight -- out of the margin of error, at the least. nt

[movonne]

10. Did you read the comments...these people are nuts...what is going

on in this country...

[thereismore]

3. Somebody tell me why is this race within 5%. I don't care if the polling methods are

flawed. I don't care if the cell phones are not polled. What I want to know is how can there be any demographic group where this race is within 5%. This should be 12% Obama at least. What is wrong with what?

[speedoo]

4. Answer: Many voters have ignored the race to this point.

Plus, there are still a lot of stupid voters out there.

Once voters become aware of McCain's licking Bush's ass, it's over, IMO.

[nels25]

6. Calling people who you would like to vote for your candidate

stupid has always seemed to me to be a less profitable way to proceed.

[speedoo]

8. The stupid voters I was referring to...

are those who would never vote for Obama or any other Dem. You do realize therfe are such people, I hope.

[nels25]

13. My apologies for reading your post the wrong way

and yes I realize there are voters like that.

I have several friends that fall in that category.

[speedoo]

14. No problem. Welcome to DU. nt

[Michigan Soldier]

5. Why is this so close?

I am holding my nose and supporting Obama. But I wish that Hillary would have won the primary or been chosen for VP. We would not be in this situation right now.

Oh and about polling. Most pollsters already counter weight the polling to take into consideration the cell phone issue.

[thereismore]

11. How do they counterweight. With what if this demo isn't polled? nt

[Indenturedebtor]

12. Yes please do tell how they counterweight?

The polls were horribly innacurate during the primaries.

[DarthDem]

7. Good Numbers

I really don't think Florida is doable for Obama without some really serious campaigning, and I'm fine with it (because I think that campaign time can be much better invested elsewhere), although I think McSame should have to play some defense there, so ads are a good idea, and if the numbers move, then Obama can reassess.

Ohio is good news; I don't care about the move from two points up to one point up. That state is the be all and end all for McClown, so any poll showing him down there is total doom for them. I think Ohio is very winnable and should be the subject (along with CO, VA, and NV) of the bulk of Obama's attention after the convention. Note that the trend continues: only Ridiculousmussen has had McHouses up in Ohio.

PA is an Obama lock. Done deal. I live here. McDoofus has no chance.

[DeepModem Mom]

9. Thought Pa. was looking good -- thanks for on-the-ground view. nt