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States where polls should be questioned.

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Drunken Irishman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-17-08 06:00 PM
Original message
States where polls should be questioned.
Edited on Sun Aug-17-08 06:01 PM by Drunken Irishman
Ohio
Virginia
North Carolina
Florida
Georgia

Why? Because every poll I have seen has Obama performing WORSE among the black community than John Kerry in 2004. It does not make sense and I do not believe this to be the case. If Obama is within 1-2 points of McCain in any of these polls on November 4th, the black vote will be the difference between victory and defeat.

So don't buy the polls coming from these states, they tend to over represent McCain's black support. And while I have no doubt McCain will gain some support from the black community, also remember Bush was actually well liked among social conservative blacks and I don't see how it's possible McCain does better this time around.
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Stevepol Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-17-08 07:02 PM
Response to Original message
1. It's possible the polls have a built-in Repub bias now.
Edited on Sun Aug-17-08 07:04 PM by Stevepol
The polls are calibrated on the basis of the (so-called) results of previous elections and if the results of these elections are seriously tilted in favor of the Repubs as I believe they are now, then the polls are also inaccurate.

Of course since the voting machines determine the results of elections and are themselves fraudulently tilted to the right, the problems with the pre-election polls won't be noticed.

Maybe if enough exit polling is done by different polling organizations, the exit polls will pretty accurately reflect the results of the elections, at least up until 1:00 or so in the morning, when the discrepancy becomes obvious and the polls are re-calibrated to fit the (so-called) results.
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1Hippiechick Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-17-08 07:20 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. On the money. Got to change method of casting votes and oversight. n/t
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