Obama's lead over Romney grows despite voters' pessimism

[No Elephants]

Obama's lead over Romney grows despite voters' pessimism



By Deborah Charles

WASHINGTON | Wed Aug 8, 2012 8:15pm EDT

(Reuters) - Americans are increasingly pessimistic about the future but voters do not seem to be holding it against Democratic President Barack Obama, who slightly expanded his lead over Republican rival Mitt Romney this month, a new Reuters/Ipsos poll says.

Three months before the November 6 presidential election, nearly two-thirds of Americans think the country is moving in the wrong direction. Only 31 percent say it is moving in the right direction - the lowest number since December 2011.

I just had to interrupt. The lowest number since 8 months ago? Big deal. Okay, we now return you to the rest of the quote.

But Obama's lead over Romney among registered voters was 49 percent to 42 percent, up slightly from the 6-point advantage the president held a month earlier over the former Massachusetts governor.

The results of the monthly poll - in which a majority of voters agreed that the economy is the most important problem facing the United States - suggest that the Obama campaign's efforts to paint Romney as being out of touch with the concerns of middle-class Americans could be preventing the Republican from gaining momentum in the race.

"The overall 'right track, wrong track' is worse than last month - the news hasn't been great lately," said Ipsos pollster Chris Jackson. "But Obama seems to be, to some extent, inoculated against some of the worst of that."

<snip>

Even so, in a reversal from July, registered voters thought Obama was stronger than Romney in dealing with jobs and the economy, and with tax issues.

Rest of article: http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/08/09/us-usa-campaign-poll-idUSBRE8770SL20120809

Full poll: http://www.ipsos-na.com/news-polls/pressrelease.aspx?id=5715


Conventional wisdom is that you do not take polls seriously until after Labor Day, when people first start paying attention to campaigns. I think that may be outdated, though, given how long ads, speeches and news about the campaigns have been airing. Also, this time, like last time, we are in such a mess that people may really have been keyed in.

I think the steady widening of the gap between Obama and Romney is significant. And, of course, the most significant is the shift from Romney to Obama that I bolded above.


Looks as though the second source of Romney's wealth (his family being the first) is also the Bain of his political existence. It was responsible for his loss to Kennedy in 1994 and we are seeing a repeat of that.

It SHOULD, by all that is just, have cost him the gubernatorial election of 2002 as well, but did not. Then again, if there was justice, he would not have been able to run in 2002, or would be now in prosecution for perjury.

Anyway, this is very encouraging.

If no one lets anything slide, the Obamas should not be needing a moving van come January.

[mercymechap]

1. Republicans want to appear optimistic and claim that

Romney is going to win, but all indications point to a possible landslide for Obama. Yes, Obama may not have the country out of the shithole that Bush put it in, but McCain would not have fared any better, and considering the things that Republicans waste their time on, (repeal Obamacare, pass laws to suppress voting, pass laws to lessen abortions, etc., etc.,) we would probably be in the middle of a depression with Republicans telling us there is nothing wrong with the economy.

http://www.policymic.com/articles/12379/election-prediction-10-reasons-obama-will-win-in-a-landslide