What the polls DON'T take into account

[ButterflyBlood]

Most polls target likely voters. A likely voter model might work in a traditional election, but they won't in this one since there are millions who have never voted in their life who are so pissed at * that they are registering just to kick his ass out. And the polls don't include them.

Nor do they include people who only use cell phones. Most college students and young yuppie liberals. Not exactly the most *-friendly demographic.

Therefore, I'd say the polls are skewed about 2 points to * at least. So they're good for judging trends, but not the actual numbers. Right now the trend is to Kerry.