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The poll statistic that should make Edwards' supporters very optimistic [View All]

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
antiimperialist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-01-08 06:15 PM
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The poll statistic that should make Edwards' supporters very optimistic
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Edited on Tue Jan-01-08 06:15 PM by antiimperialist
Ezra Klein has spotted an important finding:
Important finding: Edwards was the second choice of 62% of those who supported other candidates that did not receive the required 15% of the vote. Clinton was the second choice of 21% and Obama of 17%.
"Using the reallocation methodology InsiderAdvantage used in 2004 – which correctly indicated a fairly comfortable win for John Kerry – our new poll reveals that, if the caucuses were held today, the reallocated final outcome would be: Edwards 41%, Clinton 34% and Obama 25%."


http://www.prospect.org/csnc/blogs/ezraklein_archive?month=01&year=2008&base_name=polling_madness#103424
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