Good news for NC.

[ccharles000]

I believe this is the latest poll from NC. Obama has a fairly good chance of winning here. God I want Obama to win here.


The race for North Carolina remains close as the presumptive nominees from both major political parties begin the general election campaign season.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the Tar Heel State finds John McCain earning 48% of the vote while Barack Obama attracts 45% support. A month ago, before the state’s Democratic Presidential Primary, McCain and Obama were tied at 47% each. Nationally, McCain and Obama are quite competitive in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.

McCain now leads by thirteen percentage points among men but trails by five among women. Obama does well among those who earn less than $20,000 or more than $75,000 annually while McCain is strongest among middle-income voters. McCain leads by twenty percentage points among Investors while most non-Investors support Obama. McCain leads among those who are married while Obama leads among those who are not.

Rasmussen Markets shows that Republicans are currently given a 79.0% chance of winning North Carolina’s fifteen Electoral College Votes this fall. George W. Bush won the state by twelve points in 2004 and by thirteen points four years earlier. Immediately prior to release of this poll, North Carolina was rated as “Likely Republican” in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator.

McCain is viewed favorably by 53% of the state’s voters while Obama is viewed favorably by 51%. Opinions about Obama are much stronger—37% have a Very Favorable opinion of the Democratic nominee while 30% have a Very Unfavorable opinion. For McCain, the comparable numbers are 18% Very Favorable and 23% Very Unfavorable.

For both candidates, their favorability ratings are down from a month ago—McCain has dropped six points and Obama three. Both are viewed favorably by 46% of unaffiliated voters.

Forty-nine percent (49%) of Tar Heel voters favor a federal gas tax holiday while 41% are opposed.

Just 31% believe the federal government needs more revenue to fund important government programs. Most—54%--disagree and believe the federal government already has enough revenue.

By a three-to-one margin (60% to 20%), North Carolina voters oppose an increase in the capital gains tax. Sixty-one percent (61%) believe such a tax hike would hurt the economy.

Fifty-four percent (54%) of North Carolina voters own at least $5,000 worth of stocks, bonds, and mutual funds. Sixty-three percent (63%) of McCain voters are Investors along with 45% of Obama voters.

Rasmussen Reports recently issued a statement indicating its belief that the Democratic race is over and Obama will be the nominee. In the very unlikely event that the Obama campaign collapses and gives the nomination to Hillary Clinton, McCain leads Clinton in North Carolina 43% to 40%.

The state’s Senate race is also quite competitive as Elizabeth Dole is facing a strong challenge from Kay Hagan.

George W. Bush won 56% of the vote in North Carolina during Election 2004. Today, less than four years later, just 33% say the President is doing a good or an excellent job. Fifty-two percent (52%) say he is doing a poor job. A month ago, just 47% said Bush was doing a poor job.

The state’s Democratic Governor, Mike Easley, gets better reviews—38% good or excellent and 24% poor. Easley endorsed Clinton in the Democratic Presidential Primary.