Reply #48: It IS unfortunate

[liberalpragmatist]

I was already leaning against backing Kerry in '08, although I supported him in '04, simply because of the "damaged goods" issue; I think a LOT of the flak Kerry took for the '04 campaign was unfair - his campaign definitely made several missteps, but they also did several things very well and it's very difficult to beat in incumbent president in wartime, especially when that president's approval ratings ARE in the upper 40s/low 50s. So I think Kerry, on the whole, ran a decent if somewhat flawed campaign. Unfortunately, Americans aren't kind to those who lose elections, especially for president. It would have been very difficult for Kerry to mount a credible comeback, but I was looking forward to seeing him during the campaign, for the exact reason you mentioned.

And what is especially unfortunate for Kerry - something the article notes - is that Kerry had done a damn good job at resurrecting his profile. He had been active and visible in the Senate, he had raised more money for Democrats than any other '08 candidate this cycle, he had sharpened his speaking style and given several well-received and substantial speeches on Iraq, national security, and Hurricane Katrina. He had made earned plenty of kudos on the campaign trial, drawing big crowds. His position in early national polls was on par with Al Gore and John Edwards. So while Kerry 2008 would have had long odds of success, it wasn't entirely out of the realms of possibility; he had a residual base of support, had addressed several of his '04 criticisms, and was in a solid financial position. Though unlikely, it was possible.

Kerry has made a comeback many times before. He may do so again, but I would bet against it for the '08 cycle. Simply put, this occurred at the worst possible time for Kerry and I'm not sure he has enough time to meet the challenge. Although I'd be happy to see him run, I'm now thinking that he should remain the Senate (where he'll eventually be Foreign Relations Chairman) where he can become a Ted Kennedy-style elder statesman. And I could easily see him winding up as Secretary of State, especially if the next President is John Edwards.