Reply #3: Check where people put their money where their mouths are...

[PoliticAverse]

There are two places where people can actually put "their money where their mouths are" and place "bets" on
the outcome of the upcoming midterm elections.

A political market for research purposes run by the University of Iowa:
Overview: http://tippie.uiowa.edu/iem/markets/congress10.html
Current quotes: http://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/quotes/Congress10_Quotes.html

And intrade.com :
Political markets at intrade https://www.intrade.com/aav2/menu.jsp
(click on "Politics" then "2010 US Midterm elections").

As I write this the Iowa market has the odds of Republicans taking the house at a little over 80% and
Intrade has the odds of Republicans taking the house at about 73%. Iowa has the odds of the Democrats
retaining the senate at about 78% and Intrade has the Democrats retaining the senate at about 60%.

I've used the University of Iowa's market in the past it has the approval of the US Commodity and Futures
Trading commission. There is some question on the legality if Intrade for US residents.