Reply #68: Obama would not win if the election were held today

[Awsi Dooger]

I saw a poll today indicating 82% say the economy is poor. There is no way to overcome that. Day to day commercial avalanche via Citizens United would hammer Obama's approval rating at least 5-10 points lower. We can't be foolish enough to accept the current terrain as representative of what a campaign would create. Gas prices and unemployment at these levels would sink any incumbent.

Obama has a year to get the unemployment rate to 8% or lower. Minds are made up by summer of election year. Every reliable election model looks at economic data 6+ months prior to election day.

Don't rely on a late rally and don't be overconfident. That's all I'm saying. Any president who inherited Bush's crapper would be in bad shape right now. I hope there's enough time.